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Arman Tsarukyan vs. Makkasharip Zaynukov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Arman Tsarukyan vs Makkasharip Zaynukov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dubai (Karate Combat 54)

Game Overview

The match is a grappling contest between Arman Tsarukyan, an experienced UFC lightweight, and Makkasharip Zaynukov, a seasoned martial artist and teammate of UFC champion Islam Makhachev. This event is part of the Karate Combat 54 and the Pit Submission Series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tsarukyan has a strong background in wrestling and grappling, which could give him an edge in this submission-focused match. Zaynukov, with a record of 16-4 and notable submissions, is also a formidable opponent.
  • There is no prior head-to-head match between Tsarukyan and Zaynukov to analyze.
  • Tsarukyan recently withdrew from a UFC event due to an injury, but there are no reports indicating he is currently injured.
  • Given the nature of a grappling match, ground skills will be crucial. The presence of Islam Makhachev in Zaynukov's corner could provide psychological support.
  • Both fighters are motivated to prove themselves in this alternate format of martial arts competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tsarukyan: -550, Zaynukov: 325 Tsarukyan ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arman Tsarukyan 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arman Tsarukyan at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tsarukyan is likely to win due to his strong grappling background.

Predicted Score: Given the grappling nature, the outcome is not scored traditionally, but Tsarukyan is favored to win by submission.


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Islam Makhachev vs. Arman Tsarukyan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Islam Makhachev vs Arman Tsarukyan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-28
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Octagon (exact location unspecified)

Game Overview

Highly anticipated lightweight title rematch between reigning champion Islam Makhachev (#1 ranked) and surging contender Arman Tsarukyan (#4 ranked). Their first meeting in 2019 saw Makhachev win via unanimous decision (29-28 across all cards) in a grappling-heavy battle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Makhachev (27-1) has dominated the division with elite grappling (60% takedown accuracy) and fight IQ. Tsarukyan (22-3) shows improved striking (4.62 SLpM) and defensive wrestling (78% takedown defense) since their first fight.
  • Makhachev 1-0 (2019 decision). First fight metrics: Makhachev landed 2/5 takedowns, Tsarukyan 0/3. Significant strikes were 45-34 favoring Makhachev.
  • No reported injuries
  • Championship 5-round format favors Makhachev's pacing. Tsarukyan faces pressure in first UFC title fight.
  • Makhachev defends belt & legacy. Tsarukyan seeks revenge and first title.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Makhachev -350 / Tsarukyan +285 Makhachev by finish ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Projected 4.5 rounds (estimated -150/+120) Over 3.5 rounds (-110 estimated) ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Islam Makhachev 183%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Islam Makhachev at 183% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 64.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Makhachev retains via late submission (Rd 4). Tsarukyan's improved striking keeps it competitive early, but champion's grappling & championship experience prove decisive.

Predicted Score: Makhachev def. Tsarukyan via Submission (Arm Triangle) at 3:15 Rd4


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