Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 8:15 PM UTC
- Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville
Game Overview
The Tennessee Volunteers (4-1) host the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-3) in an SEC matchup. Tennessee is favored heavily, showing stronger recent form and home advantage. Arkansas has shown some resilience ATS historically against Tennessee but struggles outright.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tennessee is 4-1 overall and 4-1 at home with strong offensive and defensive performances. Arkansas is 2-3 overall with inconsistency and recent poor ATS form (1-4 in last 5).
- Arkansas is 7-1 ATS in last 8 games vs Tennessee but Tennessee leads the moneyline historically and is favored to win outright this season.
- No major injury reports impacting key starters for either team as of the current analysis date.
- The game is at Tennessee's Neyland Stadium with favorable weather (72Β°F, no rain, light wind). Crowd support and conditions favor the Volunteers.
- Tennessee aims to strengthen SEC standing with a 2-1 conference record; Arkansas looks to rebound from a disappointing start to the season.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Tennessee -450, Arkansas +350 | Tennessee | β β β β β 82% |
Spread | Tennessee -12.5 -110, Arkansas +12.5 -110 | Tennessee -12.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 68.5 -110, Under 68.5 -110 | Over 68.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tennessee Volunteers -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 68.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 68.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tennessee Volunteers to win moneyline, cover the -12.5 spread, and the game to go over 68.5 total points.
Predicted Score: Tennessee 41 – Arkansas 28