Match Analysis: Marquette Golden Eagles vs Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 13, 2025
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
Game Overview
Marquette Golden Eagles host Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans in an early-season matchup. Marquette enters as heavy favorites with a 2-1 record and home-court advantage, while Little Rock arrives as significant underdogs at 1-1. This is a clear mismatch on paper, with Marquette's superior athleticism, shooting efficiency, and pace of play expected to dominate.
Key Factors to Consider
- Marquette averages 85.7 ppg on 43.3% FG and 78.3% FT, with strong rebounding (41.0 boards per game) and ball security (13.0 turnovers per game). Little Rock averages 82.0 ppg but shoots only 43.3% from the field with poor free throw shooting (below 55%). Marquette's offensive efficiency and free throw consistency are significant advantages. Marquette's pace is 78.8 possessions per game (60th nationally) versus Little Rock's 70.1 (270th nationally), giving Marquette control over tempo.
- No historical data available for this matchup. This appears to be a non-conference, early-season game with no prior H2H record.
- No injury information reported in available sources.
- Marquette is playing at home where they have won both of their games this season. The 1:00 AM tip time (early morning for Eastern time) may slightly impact performance for both teams, but likely affects the visiting team more. Marquette's home court advantage at Fiserv Forum is substantial.
- Marquette is favored to make a tournament run and will be motivated to beat an inferior non-conference opponent convincingly. Little Rock has limited tournament aspirations and faces a steep challenge in this road contest.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marquette -4500 / Little Rock +1600 | Marquette Golden Eagles | ★★★★★ 96% |
| Spread | Marquette -20.5 -110 / Little Rock +20.5 -110 | Marquette -20.5 | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Over/under | Over 157.5 -110 / Under 157.5 -110 | Over 157.5 | ★★★★☆ 71% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marquette Golden Eagles -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 157.5 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 157.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marquette will dominate this matchup and cover the spread decisively. The Golden Eagles' superior pace control, shooting efficiency, free throw shooting, and rebounding will overwhelm Little Rock's defense, which allows 77.5 ppg. Marquette's -20.5 spread is justified given the talent disparity and home-court advantage.
Predicted Score: Marquette 89, Little Rock 68