Match Analysis: Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Nippert Stadium
Game Overview
Big 12 showdown between No. 25 Cincinnati (7-2, 5-1 Big 12) and Arizona (6-3, 3-3 Big 12). Cincinnati controls its destiny for the Big 12 Championship, while Arizona is bowl eligible and playing with momentum. Both teams rank in the top 40 nationally in points per game, with Cincinnati averaging 37 in recent wins and Arizona averaging 40 in its last two road games. The Bearcats are 7-1 at home this season, with their only loss coming on the road at Utah. Arizona has shown resilience, winning four of its last six, including a key road win at Kansas.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cincinnati is 9th nationally in rushing and 69th in passing, while Arizona is 51st in rushing and 43rd in passing. Cincinnati allows fewer points per game and has a stronger defense, especially at home. Arizona is 89th in red zone offense and 92nd in sacks allowed, exposing weaknesses in short-yardage and pass protection.
- No recent H2H data available, but Cincinnati has a strong home record (7-1) and has won five straight at Nippert Stadium. Arizona is 3-3 in Big 12 play, with mixed results on the road.
- Cincinnati RB Evan Pryor is questionable, which could impact their rushing attack. Arizona has no major reported injuries.
- Arizona is a West Coast team playing a noon start in Cincinnati, which can disrupt rhythm and energy. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams in the top 40 in points per game.
- Cincinnati is in a three-way tie for the top spot in the Big 12 and controls its destiny for the conference title. Arizona is bowl eligible and playing with house money, but has less at stake.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona Wildcats: 184, Cincinnati Bearcats: -220 | Cincinnati Bearcats | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | Arizona Wildcats: 6.5 -115, Cincinnati Bearcats: -6.5 -105 | Cincinnati Bearcats -6.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over: 56.5 -110, Under: 56.5 -110 | Over 56.5 | ★★★★☆ 76% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cincinnati Bearcats -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 56.5 34% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 56.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cincinnati covers the spread and wins outright, but Arizona keeps it competitive. The game is high-scoring, with both teams' offenses performing well.
Predicted Score: Cincinnati 42, Arizona 28