Top EV Parlay for Baseball – July 22, 2025

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Match Analysis: Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-20
• Time: 8:11 PM UTC
• Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona

Game Overview

Arizona Diamondbacks (49-50) face St. Louis Cardinals (51-48) in a crucial MLB game where both teams hover near playoff contention. Arizona has a slight edge as home favorites, backed by strong recent home performance and a dominant previous 10-1 win versus the Cardinals. St. Louis, although slightly more productive offensively on the road, must overcome pitching challenges and recent away losses.

Key Factors to Consider

• Arizona is 5-5 in last 10 games and performs reliably at home, averaging over 3.5 runs per game against St. Louis. Cardinals have a balanced 51-48 season record, with a .252 batting average and 4.18 team ERA. Cardinals’ offense is slightly more productive overall, but the pitching staff’s 4.94 ERA from starter Mikolas poses concerns.
• Recent head-to-heads favor Arizona, including a decisive 10-1 victory on July 20, 2025. Mikolas, the Cardinals' starter, has a career 3-2 record and a 2.97 ERA against Diamondbacks, but Merrill Kelly for Arizona has been more consistent with an 8-5 record and 3.34 ERA.
• No significant injury reports affect starting pitchers or key offensive players for either team heading into this matchup.
• Playing at Chase Field provides Arizona with home-field advantage, including familiar conditions such as pitcher-friendly park factors that can influence run environment.
• Both teams are motivated to solidify playoff positioning with similar records around .500, but Arizona’s recent dominant performance over Cardinals adds confidence and drive.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Arizona Diamondbacks win on the moneyline, cover -1.5 spread, with the game going over 8.5 total runs.

Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 6 – St. Louis Cardinals 4

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Match Analysis: Los Angeles Angels vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-13
• Time: 8:08 PM UTC
• Location: Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California

Game Overview

A close MLB matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and the Arizona Diamondbacks at Angel Stadium, with both teams holding similar records near .500, led by starting pitchers José Soriano (Angels) and Merrill Kelly (Diamondbacks).

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams have near-identical season records: Angels 47-48 (24-22 at home), Diamondbacks 46-50 (23-25 away). The Angels have a slight home advantage and recent simulations give them a minor edge in win probability.
• Simulations show the Angels have a 52% chance to win over the Diamondbacks’ 48%, indicating a tightly contested game historically and currently.
• Significant injuries impact both sides. Diamondbacks have multiple key players on IL including A. Puk, C. Burnes, and others; Angels also missing key players like B. Joyce and H. Strickland. Injuries likely reduce each team’s depth but roughly balance out.
• Game played at Angel Stadium, home turf for Angels, a slight environmental and morale advantage. Weather and stadium conditions not reported as adverse.
• Both teams are hovering around .500, potentially fighting for playoff relevance, with motivation high to secure wins. The Angels' slight home advantage may add to their motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles Angels moneyline win

Predicted Score: Angels 5 – Diamondbacks 4

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Match Analysis: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-06
• Time: 8:11 PM UTC
• Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ

Game Overview

The upcoming MLB matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks (home) and Kansas City Royals is the third game of their series. The teams split the first two games with the Royals winning 9-3 and the Diamondbacks winning 7-1. Both teams have shown offensive power, but Arizona rebounded strongly after the initial loss. The Diamondbacks will look to leverage home advantage at Chase Field to secure a series win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Arizona Diamondbacks demonstrated resilience by recovering from a heavy 3-9 home loss on July 4 to a 7-1 win on July 5, showing strong pitching from Ryne Nelson and effective hitting from key players like Eugenio Suarez and Corbin Carroll. The Royals started strong offensively on July 4 but were shut down on July 5, indicating some inconsistency. Recent pitching matchups favor Diamondbacks' staff.
• Recent head-to-head results show the Royals beat Arizona 9-3 on July 4, but Arizona dominated 7-1 on July 5, evening the series. The teams are evenly matched in the short term with momentum slightly favoring Arizona given their Saturday win at home.
• No specific injury reports found in available data for either team, suggesting both squads will field near full-strength lineups.
• Game played at Chase Field gives Diamondbacks home field advantage. Weather conditions indoors are neutral. No other external factors like travel fatigue or schedule congestion are indicated.
• Diamondbacks are motivated to clinch the series at home, having rebounded from their initial game loss. Royals will aim to avoid a series loss on the road after their disappointing game two. Both teams have competitive drives at mid-season.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Arizona Diamondbacks are favored to win this game based on home advantage, recent performance, and stronger pitching shown in game two. Expect a competitive but controlled Diamondbacks victory.

Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 5 – 3 Kansas City Royals

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