Match Analysis: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 8:11 PM UTC
- Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
Game Overview
The Cincinnati Reds visit the Arizona Diamondbacks in an MLB matchup where Arizona is favored at home. Starting pitchers are Brady Singer for Cincinnati and Zac Gallen for Arizona. Both teams have near .500 records, with Cincinnati slightly ahead in wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona is strong at home with a 7-1 recent SU record but struggles ATS in recent games; Cincinnati is solid ATS on the road and has covered well lately.
- Arizona won the last meeting in a 10-1 rout. Zac Gallen's recent starts against the Reds show a 3.48 ERA with 27 strikeouts over five games; Brady Singer is 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA against Arizona.
- No significant injuries reported affecting key starters or bullpen arms for either team.
- The game is at Chase Field, a hitter-friendly park, with weather expected to be stable, favoring run production.
- Cincinnati looks to bounce back after recent losses and has motivation ahead of a road series vs the Dodgers. Arizona aims to maintain good home form and momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks -130, Cincinnati Reds +110 | Arizona Diamondbacks | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 +146, Cincinnati Reds +1.5 -178 | Cincinnati Reds +1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 9 -102, Under 9 -120 | Over 9 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9 35% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona Diamondbacks to win moneyline, Cincinnati Reds +1.5 on spread, Over 9 runs
Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 6 – Cincinnati Reds 5