Match Analysis: Arian Sadiković vs Dawid Jarowienko – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: OKTAGON MMA event (location Germany)
Game Overview
A welterweight bout between Arian Sadiković and Dawid Jarowienko at OKTAGON 74, featuring two undefeated fighters with similar physical dimensions and a striking-based background.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sadikovic holds a record of 1-0 with a KO/TKO victory; Jarowienko is 2-0 with both wins by KO/TKO. Neither has been taken the distance. Sadikovic has a strong kickboxing background (38-5), indicating superior striking experience.
- No previous fights between the fighters; this is their first meeting making direct H2H data unavailable.
- No reported injuries or recent physical issues for either fighter prior to the bout.
- Fight takes place in Germany, which is neutral for both fighters (Sadiković has Bosnian/German ties, Jarowienko is Polish), suggesting minimal home crowd advantage.
- Both fighters are undefeated and motivated to build early hype. Sadiković’s recent activity and higher level striking pedigree might give him a slight edge in mental preparation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +135 | Arian Sadiković | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | -115 | Sadiković by -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | -110 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 43% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arian Sadiković to win by KO/TKO
Predicted Score: Sadiković wins by TKO in round 2