Archie Colgan vs. Mansour Barnaoui Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Archie Colgan vs Mansour Barnaoui – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-20
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Wichita, USA

Game Overview

PFL World Tournament 6 features a key lightweight alternate bout between undefeated Archie Colgan (11-0) and the experienced Mansour Barnaoui (22-6). The fight was originally scheduled as a main event in Paris before being moved to Wichita. Colgan is regarded as one of Bellator/PFL's most promising prospects, while Barnaoui brings a wealth of experience and success in Europe.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Archie Colgan is undefeated with an 11-0 record, showing excellent fight IQ and finishing ability. Mansour Barnaoui is 22-6 with a strong resume, including notable wins in Europe, but has faced tougher competition recently and has more mileage.
  • This is the first meeting between the two fighters. They share no direct history in MMA competition.
  • No significant injuries reported heading into the fight. Both fighters are healthy and ready.
  • Originally slated for Paris, the fight was moved to Wichita, Kansas. Colgan may benefit from being familiar with the US scene, while this is Barnaoui's major US event. The American crowd could favor Colgan.
  • Colgan expressed strong motivation, viewing this as his biggest opportunity and promising to stop Barnaoui. Barnaoui is motivated to prove himself on the prominent PFL stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Colgan -300 / Barnaoui +240 Archie Colgan ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Archie Colgan -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Archie Colgan at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Archie Colgan is favored due to his undefeated streak, momentum, and aggressive style. However, Barnaoui's experience and technical skills make him a live underdog. Expect a competitive fight, but Colgan's youth and recent dominance give him the edge.

Predicted Score: Archie Colgan by stoppage (TKO/Submission) in the 2nd or 3rd round


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