Match Analysis: Jimmy Flick vs Matt Schnell – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 26, 2025
• Time: 12:45 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Kansas City

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA fight between Jimmy Flick and Matt Schnell is scheduled for the Flyweight division. Both fighters have unique strengths and weaknesses, with Schnell being more aggressive in striking and Flick focusing on grappling.

Key Factors to Consider

• Matt Schnell has a higher striking rate with 4.39 strikes per minute, while Jimmy Flick excels in submission attempts with 4.3 per 15 minutes. Schnell's takedown defense is stronger, but Flick is more aggressive in grappling.
• This is their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
• The crowd and environment at UFC Kansas City may influence fighter performance.
• Both fighters are motivated to secure a win, especially in a high-profile event like UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jimmy Flick +150, Matt Schnell -180	Matt Schnell	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Jimmy Flick +3.5, Matt Schnell -3.5	Matt Schnell	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds -110, Under 1.5 rounds -120	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Matt Schnell -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Matt Schnell is favored due to his striking efficiency, but Jimmy Flick's grappling skills pose a significant threat.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Matt Schnell.

Match Analysis: Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: GEODIS Park, Nashville, TN

Game Overview

The MLS match between Nashville SC and Chicago Fire is set for April 26, 2025, at GEODIS Park. Nashville SC comes into this game with strong home advantage and recent consistent home performances. Chicago Fire, currently with a record of 3-2-2 this season, recently lost 2-1 at New York Red Bulls, showing some susceptibility on the road but competitive spirit. Both teams have shown ability to score and concede goals, suggesting an open and competitive match.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nashville SC performs well at home with solid attacking and defensive balance. Chicago Fire has a slightly mixed record but remains competitive, particularly in away fixtures where they have shown resilience despite recent losses.
• Recent head-to-head encounters have been competitive; however, Nashville SC holds home advantage and has historically performed better in this fixture, which may influence the outcome.
• No significant injury updates have been reported for either side, indicating both teams should be near full strength for the match.
• Playing at GEODIS Park provides Nashville SC a strong home crowd advantage. Weather and pitch conditions appear standard for late April in Nashville, unlikely to impact gameplay.
• Nashville SC is motivated to capitalize on home advantage and build on their regular season momentum. Chicago Fire aims to recover from recent losses and improve their away form, maintaining playoff aspirations.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	chicago_fire: 300, nashville_sc: -115, draw: 275	Nashville SC win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	chicago_fire_+50: -105, nashville_sc_-0.5: -115	Nashville SC -0.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over_2.75: -118, under_2.75: -102	Over 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nashville SC 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.75 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nashville SC at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nashville SC is favored to win at home given stronger home form and recent performance trends. A close match is expected, with Nashville likely to edge out Chicago Fire.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 27, 2025
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: PNC Stadium, Houston

Game Overview

Houston Dynamo is hosting Austin FC in an MLS matchup. Houston has been inconsistent this season, while Austin has shown promising performance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Houston has struggled with consistency, while Austin has improved significantly. However, both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defense.
• Recent head-to-head matches have been closely contested, with neither team dominating the other.
• No major injuries for either team have been reported recently.
• Weather conditions are expected to be fair, with no significant impact on gameplay.
• Both teams will be motivated to win, as they seek to climb the MLS standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Houston 105, Austin 245, Draw 260	Houston Win	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Houston -0.25 -125, Austin 25 105	Houston Cover	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 2.5 105, Under 2.5 -125	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Houston Dynamo 109%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Houston Dynamo at 109% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is likely to be competitive, with Houston having a slight edge due to home-field advantage.

Predicted Score: Houston 1, Austin 0

Match Analysis: Gauge Young vs Evan Elder – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 12:25 AM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City

Game Overview

Lightweight bout between Evan 'The Phenom' Elder (9-2-0) and Gauge 'Gee Money' Young (9-2-0) at UFC Kansas City. Elder holds physical advantages in height (5'10" vs 5'9"), reach (72" vs 70"), and striking defense (57% vs 44%). Young possesses superior striking accuracy (56% to 49%) but absorbs more strikes (5.40/min vs 4.79/min). Elder's grappling edge includes takedown attempts (0.63/15min) and submission threat (0.6/15min).

Key Factors to Consider

• Elder: 2 recent wins (Flowers, Valdez). Young's last fight was a loss (Salkilld). Elder's 11:51 avg fight time suggests early engagement vs Young's 15:00 full-round stamina.
• No prior match history between fighters.
• No injury data available from current sources.
• Young's orthodox stance vs Elder's switch stance creates tactical variance. Venue elevation (Kansas City ~910ft) minimal impact.
• Elder seeks third consecutive UFC win. Young aims to rebound from recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Elder -193 / Young +168	Elder Moneyline	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 (-240) / Under 2.5 (+190)	Over 2.5 Rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Evan Elder 68%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Evan Elder at 68% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Elder by decision (60% confidence) – superior defensive metrics and volume striking likely outweigh Young's accuracy advantage.

Predicted Score: Elder by Unanimous Decision (29-28)

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 27 Apr 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

Botafogo (14th in Brasileirão) hosts Fluminense (3rd) in a Serie A clash. Fluminense holds superior league positioning, but Botafogo enjoys home advantage. Current form and head-to-head records remain unspecified in available data.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fluminense's 3rd-place standing indicates stronger recent performance compared to Botafogo's 14th-place ranking[1][2]
• Historical H2H data unavailable in provided sources, though previous meetings likely influence tactical approaches
• No injury reports available from provided sources
• Home crowd support at Estádio Nilton Santos could provide psychological edge for Botafogo[2][3]
• Fluminense needs wins to maintain top-tier position, while Botafogo seeks to climb from lower mid-table

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Botafogo 125 | Draw 210 | Fluminense 245	Value on Fluminense or Draw due to league position disparity	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Botafogo -0.25 (-108) | Fluminense +25 (-112)	Fluminense +0.25 offers coverage against narrow loss	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2 (-128) | Under 2 (108)	Under 2 goals (1.5 implied line) given defensive alignment likely from both sides	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Botafogo 31%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Botafogo at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Conservative play expected given league positions. Market odds slightly favor Botafogo (125 vs 245 Fluminense), but value appears in Fluminense's defensive strength and higher league standing.

Predicted Score: 1-1 Draw