Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Flamengo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-13
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil
Game Overview
Grêmio and Flamengo face off in a Campeonato Brasileiro match, with Grêmio seeking to improve their standings against a strong Flamengo side that has recently shown dominant form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Grêmio has mixed recent form, while Flamengo has shown strong consistency in performance.
- Historically, the head-to-head is slightly in favor of Flamengo, but Grêmio has had recent successes.
- No significant injury reports for either team as of now.
- Home advantage for Grêmio could play a role, but Flamengo's recent away performances have been solid.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Flamengo 125, Grêmio 240, Draw 225 | Flamengo | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Flamengo -0.25 -110, Grêmio +25 -110 | Flamengo | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over_under | Over 2.25 100, Under 2.25 -120 | Under | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Flamengo 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo is slightly favored due to their recent form, but Grêmio has potential at home.
Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Flamengo