Match Analysis: Antonio Carlos Junior vs Sullivan Cauley – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: PFL World Tournament 10 Finals, Charlotte, North Carolina

Game Overview

Antonio Carlos Junior and Sullivan Cauley face off in a light heavyweight MMA bout at the PFL World Tournament 10 Finals. Cauley enters as the betting favorite with American odds of -145 vs. +115 for Carlos Jr. The matchup features contrasting styles with Carlos Jr. known for his grappling prowess and Cauley for striking and reach advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Carlos Jr. has shown solid grappling dominance and control in recent PFL bouts although his recent finishes are limited. Cauley comes off a strong streak emphasizing striking volume and reach control. Both fighters are experienced but Cauley’s youth (29 vs 35) and recent form slightly edges momentum to him.
• No prior direct matchup between Antonio Carlos Junior and Sullivan Cauley exists, making this a fresh contest without past fight data influencing tactical approaches.
• No reported injuries for either fighter heading into the bout, allowing both to compete at full strength.
• The bout is held at PFL's World Tournament Finals in Charlotte, NC, a neutral venue with no obvious home advantage. Both fighters are under usual tournament pressure and have similar travel and acclimation conditions.
• Both fighters highly motivated; Carlos Jr. to validate veteran status at the finals, Cauley motivated by youth and recent momentum aiming for title implications.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Antonio Carlos Junior: +115, Sullivan Cauley: -145	Sullivan Cauley	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Sullivan Cauley -1.5 rounds: -110, Antonio Carlos Junior +1.5 rounds: -110	Sullivan Cauley -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sullivan Cauley -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sullivan Cauley at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sullivan Cauley to win by Decision

Predicted Score: Sullivan Cauley wins by decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Antonio Carlos Junior vs Simeon Powell – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago

Game Overview

This light heavyweight semifinal bout in the 2025 PFL World Tournament 7 pits veteran Antonio Carlos Jr. (17-6) against rising contender Simeon Powell (11-1). Carlos Jr., a former PFL champion and American Top Team fighter, seeks his second tournament title. Powell, an English fighter with one loss, aims to continue his recent winning streak and reach the finals. The bout promises a clash of experience against youth and momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• Antonio Carlos Jr. has delivered strong recent performances, winning six of his last seven fights, including a split decision over Karl Moore in the quarterfinals. Simeon Powell carries momentum from back-to-back wins since his sole career loss in 2023, notably finishing Karl Albrektsson with elbows and punches in the second round on May 1.
• Carlos Jr. and Powell have no recorded previous encounters, making this a fresh matchup without direct historical data.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight takes place at Wintrust Arena in Chicago, which is a familiar venue for Carlos Jr., possibly providing a psychological edge. The stakes are high with a finals berth on the line.
• Carlos Jr. is driven by the prospect of securing his second PFL championship in five years, while Powell aims to establish himself as a top contender by advancing to the finals for the first time.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Antonio Carlos Junior: +145, Simeon Powell: -175	Simeon Powell	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Antonio Carlos Junior: +1.5, Simeon Powell: -1.5	Simeon Powell -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Simeon Powell -14%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Simeon Powell at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Simeon Powell is favored to win due to his current momentum and slightly better odds, but Antonio Carlos Jr.'s championship experience and strong recent form make this a closely contested fight. A decision or late finish is likely, with Powell edging the victory.

Predicted Score: Simeon Powell wins by unanimous decision or TKO in round 3

Match Analysis: Antonio Carlos Junior vs Karl Moore – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-03
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA fight between Antonio Carlos Junior and Karl Moore is set to be a competitive matchup in the light heavyweight division. Both fighters have shown promising performances in their respective careers, with Antonio Carlos Junior's Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background and Karl Moore's recent form in Bellator events.

Key Factors to Consider

• Antonio Carlos Junior has been performing well in the PFL, which could give him an edge in experience and ring presence. Karl Moore's recent performances include a loss to Corey Anderson but wins over Alex Polizzi and Karl Albrektsson.
• There is no prior head-to-head matchup between these two fighters, which makes it difficult to predict based solely on past encounters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
• Both fighters are seeking a strong start in their respective competition paths; external factors like venue and crowd support are minimal due to the nature of MMA events.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win in this matchup. Antonio Carlos Junior is looking to continue his success in the PFL, while Karl Moore seeks to bounce back from his most recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Antonio Carlos Junior: 105, Karl Moore: -135	Karl Moore	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Karl Moore -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent performances and stylistic matchups, Antonio Carlos Junior might have an advantage due to his grappling skills. However, Karl Moore's experience and physical attributes could make this a closely contested bout.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA, as it typically does not end in numerical scores.