Match Analysis: Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Ante Delija – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-02
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

This heavyweight UFC co-main event features Waldo Cortes-Acosta, an established UFC fighter with a 7-2 UFC record, versus Ante Delija, a powerful and rising contender coming off an impressive UFC debut knockout win. Cortes-Acosta is a technical boxer with precise striking but faces a reach disadvantage and a recent loss. Delija is a multi-dimensional fighter, skilled in both striking and grappling, with momentum from back-to-back knockout wins and strong training partners.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cortes-Acosta has a solid UFC pedigree with a 4-1 record in his last five fights, relying on precise striking and power. Delija, new to UFC but experienced from his PFL success, is on an upward trend with consecutive knockout victories and a recent Performance of the Night bonus.
• No prior head-to-head matchups between the fighters.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the bout.
• Fight takes place at the UFC Apex, where both fighters have competed before. Delija's recent transition from PFL to UFC and training alongside champion Tom Aspinall bolster his confidence and readiness.
• Delija is motivated to establish himself as a top heavyweight contender in UFC after a strong debut. Cortes-Acosta aims to rebound from a recent loss and maintain his UFC ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +110, away: -130	Away	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	home: -165, away: +120	Away -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: -140, under: +110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ante Delija 16%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ante Delija to win by knockout or decision

Predicted Score: Ante Delija wins by KO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Marcin Tybura vs Ante Delija – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 6:15 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Paris

Game Overview

Heavyweight UFC rematch between Poland's Marcin Tybura, a seasoned top-ten gatekeeper, and Croatia's Ante Delija, UFC newcomer and former PFL heavyweight champion. Both fighters have strong resumes; the bout carries high stakes for position and reputation in the division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tybur has a solid UFC record with a 27-9 career, showing durable and technical striking and grappling. Delija comes off dominant wins in PFL with first-round TKO victories and limited UFC experience but strong momentum as a rising prospect.
• This matchup is a rematch; prior fight details are limited, but betting markets view it as extremely close, with Delija slightly favored due to recent dominant form and youth advantage.
• No notable recent injuries reported for either fighter. Both appear healthy heading into the fight.
• Fight is in Paris, neutral venue; no significant travel or altitude disadvantages. Delija’s UFC debut brings freshness, while Tybura aims to defend ranking status.
• Delija highly motivated to establish himself in UFC with a statement win. Tybura motivated to retain top-ten gatekeeper status and avoid being passed by newcomers.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ante Delija: -112, Marcin Tybura: -108	Ante Delija	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Ante Delija +3.5: -205, Marcin Tybura -3.5: +150	Ante Delija +3.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5: +105, Under 2.5: -135	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ante Delija -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ante Delija moneyline win

Predicted Score: Ante Delija wins by decision or late TKO in round 3