Match Analysis: Angers vs Brest – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 3:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Raymond-Kopa
Game Overview
Angers SCO hosts Stade Brest in a tightly contested Ligue 1 match with both teams closely ranked (Angers 13th, Brest 14th). Brest enters slightly behind on points but showed a strong recent win, while Angers has struggled for consistency at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Angers holds 5 points with a 1-2-2 record, scoring 3 and conceding 4 goals. Brest has 4 points with a 1-1-3 record but scored 9 and conceded 11 goals, displaying offensive strength but defensive fragility.
- Brest has a dominant recent H2H record, especially at home with 7 wins in last 11 matches vs Angers, and a 13-3 goal difference. Most common result historically is a narrow 1-0 win for Brest.
- Angers has multiple absences including Soumaila Coulibaly, Bradley Locko and others impacting squad depth. Brest also faces some injury concerns but none to critical attacking players.
- The match is played at Angers' Stade Raymond-Kopa with no major external disruptions. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be neutral.
- Both teams are motivated to climb the Ligue 1 table early in the season; Brestβs recent strong victory (4-1 vs Nice) boosts confidence, while Angers seeks to defend home ground but has been inconsistent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 193 / 138 / 230 | Brest | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Angers +25 (-128), Brest -0.25 (+108) | Brest -0.25 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (-102), Under 2.5 (-118) | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Brest 19% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Brest at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Brest Moneyline
Predicted Score: 1-2