Match Analysis: Iasmin Lucindo vs Angela Hill – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Strawweight Division (venue not specified)
Game Overview
This is a UFC Strawweight division fight between Iasmin Lucindo and Angela Hill scheduled for August 9, 2025, at 20:00 UTC. Both fighters have contrasting styles and recent activity trends entering this matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iasmin Lucindo comes in as the betting favorite (-198) with slightly better recent performance metrics, showing strong striking accuracy and grappling defense. Angela Hill (+164) has been aggressive and motivated, training new skills but carries a slightly older age factor (40 years) compared to Lucindo.
- There is no record of direct previous matchups between Iasmin Lucindo and Angela Hill, making this fight a test of adaptations and strategy on fight night.
- No reported recent injuries for either fighter. Both appear healthy going into this contest.
- Angela Hill has demonstrated high motivation publicly, even working on new techniques in camp. Lucindo’s home country advantage (Brazil) cannot be verified and may be neutral depending on location.
- Angela Hill's public statements indicate strong desire to dominate this fight. Lucindo’s favored odds imply confidence from bookmakers, suggesting strong underlying performance and preparation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Angela Hill: +164, Iasmin Lucindo: -198 | Iasmin Lucindo | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Angela Hill: -205 on +3.5, Iasmin Lucindo: +150 on -3.5 | Iasmin Lucindo to win by more than 3.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -720, Under 2.5 rounds: +450 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iasmin Lucindo -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 285% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 285% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 63.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Iasmin Lucindo to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Iasmin Lucindo wins by decision or late finish within 3 rounds