Match Analysis: Angela Hill vs Fatima Kline – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City
Game Overview
Angela Hill (18-15-0, 40 years old) faces Fatima Kline (8-1-0, 25 years old) in a women's strawweight bout at UFC 322. Hill is an experienced veteran seeking to extend her career at a late stage, while Kline is an undefeated prospect with 8 wins and only 1 loss in her record, though competing at the UFC level. This represents a classic matchup between experience and youth, with significant disparities in fight records and career trajectories.
Key Factors to Consider
- Angela Hill lands 5.43 significant strikes per minute with 50% accuracy, demonstrating superior striking volume compared to Kline's 3.94 strikes per minute at 49% accuracy. However, Hill's defense is notably weaker, allowing 4.92 significant strikes per minute versus Kline's 2.29. Hill defends 60% of incoming strikes while Kline defends 59%. In wrestling, Kline significantly outperforms Hill, achieving 60% takedown accuracy compared to Hill's 30%, though Hill demonstrates better takedown defense at 74% versus Kline's 50%. Hill's reach advantage is 64 inches versus Kline's 67 inches, giving Kline a slight edge in physical dimensions.
- No previous matchup history exists between these fighters. This is their first encounter, making comparative historical analysis unavailable.
- No injury information is available in the search results for either fighter.
- The fight takes place at Madison Square Garden in New York City, one of the most prestigious venues in combat sports, which may influence fighter performance and crowd dynamics. The main card presentation on ESPN+ PPV indicates this is a significant UFC 322 event.
- Kline enters as a younger prospect with a near-perfect record (8-1), seeking to establish herself as a top contender and capitalize on her momentum. Hill, at 40 years old with a .545 win percentage (18-15), faces potential pressure regarding her career longevity and relevance, potentially serving as motivational fuel despite the age disadvantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Angela Hill +390 / Fatima Kline -520 | Fatima Kline | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Angela Hill +5.5 (-115) / Fatima Kline -5.5 (-115) | Fatima Kline -5.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 (-375) / Under 2.5 (270) | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fatima Kline 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 170% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 170% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 63% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fatima Kline is strongly favored to win this bout. The odds and fighter metrics overwhelmingly support Kline's victory. Despite Hill's superior striking volume and accuracy, Kline's significantly better takedown success rate (60% vs 30%), superior defensive striking metrics (2.29 vs 4.92 strikes absorbed per minute), and improved takedown defense (50% vs 74% for Hill) create multiple pathways to victory. Kline's youth, undefeated record, and technical wrestling superiority position her to control the fight's pace and dictate the engagement. Hill's experience provides value as an underdog, but the statistical and biographical data favor Kline decisively.
Predicted Score: Fatima Kline wins via submission or decision in Round 2 or 3 (estimated 65% probability of Rounds 1-2 finish, 35% probability of decision).