Match Analysis: Nick Klein vs Andrey Pulyaev – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-02
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Game Overview
Nick Klein faces Andrey Pulyaev in a middleweight UFC bout at UFC Vegas 108. Klein, with a 6-2 record, is an orthodox fighter standing 6'1" with a 77" reach, averaging 3.22 significant strikes per minute and a 60% accuracy rate. Pulyaev has a 9-3 record, fights southpaw, is taller at 6'4" with a 78" reach, lands 3.87 significant strikes per minute with 58% accuracy. Both have solid defensive stats, with Klein allowing 3.33 significant strikes per minute and Pulyaev 3.93, and both able to deflect nearly half the strikes against them. The bout is expected to be competitive with Pulyaev as the betting favorite based on current odds and performance metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pulyaev has a slight edge in experience and striking volume with 9 wins versus Klein's 6. Klein is marginally more accurate and defensively sound in terms of strikes absorbed per minute. Both fighters demonstrate comparable defensive capabilities (around 47-48% deflect rate), suggesting a closely matched striking battle.
- No prior head-to-head meetings found between Nick Klein and Andrey Pulyaev, making this their first encounter.
- No public information or reports indicate current injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the match.
- The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral and familiar venue for both. No significant external conditions like travel or weather are expected to influence performance.
- Klein is making his UFC debut, carrying motivation to establish himself. Pulyaev, with more UFC experience and a better record, aims to reinforce his standing, giving him a potentially higher confidence level.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Andrey Pulyaev: -155, Nick Klein: 130 | Andrey Pulyaev to win | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Andrey Pulyaev -3.5: 100, Nick Klein +3.5: -135 | Pulyaev to win by more than 3.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: -220, Under 1.5 rounds: 170 | Under 1.5 rounds, fight likely to be competitive and could end in early to mid rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Andrey Pulyaev -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 62% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 62% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on the data, Andrey Pulyaev is favored to win with a notable edge in reach, striking volume, and professional experience. However, Klein's accuracy and defensive stats keep the race close, suggesting a high likelihood of a competitive fight which might go the distance or be decided by technical striking.
Predicted Score: Pulyaev wins by decision or late stoppage (Round 2 or 3)