Match Analysis: Andres Cortes vs Derlyn Hernandez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Thunder Studios, Long Beach, United States

Game Overview

Super Featherweight (130 lbs) 10-round bout between undefeated, highly-ranked prospect Andres Cortes and durable, technical underdog Derlyn Hernandez.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cortes is 23-0-0, a rising star known for power, speed, and technical acumen. Hernandez brings toughness and adaptability, but has not faced opponents at Cortes' level[9].
• No prior fights between these two; this is their first matchup.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Fight is in California, a neutral site with no significant crowd or travel advantage. Weigh-in handling could be pivotal, given the strict 130 lbs limit.
• Cortes is protecting his unbeaten record and angling for a title shot; Hernandez has a clear opportunity for a life-changing upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -5000, away: +1500	Cortes ML	★★★★★ 90%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Andres Cortes 1388%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Andres Cortes at 1388% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 92.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cortes is a massive betting favorite for good reason—he is undefeated, fighting at home, and has a clear class edge. However, Hernandez is a live underdog due to his resilience and experience, and Cortes' odds are so short that a value bet on Hernandez for a massive payout is justified, though with low probability.

Predicted Score: Cortes wins by unanimous decision (118–110, 116–112, 117–111)

Top EV Parlay for Boxing – October 18, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Andres Cortes vs. Derlyn Hernandez Prediction	Andres Cortes	-5000	1388%
Albert Gonzalez vs. Leonardo Baez Prediction	Albert Gonzalez	-1800	641%
Sarah Bormann vs. Yuko Kuroki Prediction	Sarah Bormann	-425	212%

Combined Odds: -303 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $26.6

Match Analysis: Andres Cortes vs Salvador Jimenez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 10, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Pechanga Arena, San Diego

Game Overview

Andres Cortes, a 22-0 junior lightweight contender, faces Salvador Jimenez in a pivotal 10-round bout on May 10. Cortes is highly favored to win due to his undefeated record and recent performances. Jimenez, though less renowned, has a record of 14-1-1 and could pose a challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

• Andres Cortes has been strong in his recent fights, defeating notable opponents like Xavier Martinez and Abraham Nova. Salvador Jimenez has a less impressive record and recently lost to Ryan Garner.
• There is no previous head-to-head fight between Cortes and Jimenez, but their styles suggest Cortes' aggression might give him an edge.
• Andres Cortes had an injury that delayed this fight previously, but he has since completed a strong training camp.
• The bout is part of a significant boxing event at Pechanga Arena, featuring other notable fights, which might influence the atmosphere and pressure on the fighters.
• Cortes is highly motivated for a title shot and views this fight as a stepping stone to bigger opportunities.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-4000/+1300	Andres Cortes to win	★★★★★ 95%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Andres Cortes -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Andres Cortes at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Andres Cortes is predicted to win, given his undefeated record and recent performances.

Predicted Score: Andres Cortes likely to win by decision or late-round stoppage.