Match Analysis: Trevin Giles vs Andreas Gustafsson Berg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-31
- Time: 11:40 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Game Overview
Andreas Gustafsson Berg makes his UFC debut against the more experienced Trevin Giles at UFC Vegas 107. Gustafsson is favored, with strong odds reflecting his recent form and efficiency in strikes. Giles, however, brings a wealth of experience to the fight.
Key Factors to Consider
- Trevin Giles has a 16-7-0 record, while Andreas Gustafsson Berg has a 11-2-0 record. Gustafsson lands more significant strikes per minute and has a higher percentage of successful strikes.
- There is no head-to-head history between Trevin Giles and Andreas Gustafsson Berg.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
- Gustafsson will be the first fighter to wear the UFC Debut Patch on his warm-up jersey, which might give him additional motivation.
- Gustafsson is highly motivated for his UFC debut, while Giles seeks to prove his experience still counts in the UFC.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -166 for Gustafsson, +140 for Giles | Gustafsson to win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | -3.5 for Gustafsson (-115), +3.5 for Giles (-115) | Gustafsson to cover the spread | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 (+100), Under 2.5 (-130) | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Andreas Gustafsson Berg 68% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Andreas Gustafsson Berg at 68% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Andreas Gustafsson Berg is likely to win based on his recent form and striking efficiency.
Predicted Score: Gustafsson to win by TKO or submission in under 2.5 rounds.