Match Analysis: Cam Rowston vs Andre Petroski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-28
• Time: 1:20 AM UTC
• Location: Perth, Australia

Game Overview

UFC middleweight bout featuring Andre Petroski, a UFC veteran known for grappling and grinding style, against Cam Rowston, a UFC debutant with improved striking and mix of takedowns.

Key Factors to Consider

• Petroski holds a 13-5 record with UFC experience while Rowston is 12-3 and entering with momentum from a recent Contender Series win demonstrating striking and takedown skills.
• No previous matchups; first meeting between Petroski and Rowston.
• No significant injury reports on either fighter ahead of the fight.
• Fight is at Perth, potentially benefiting Rowston as the nearer native fighter; potential crowd support.
• Rowston motivated to make a strong UFC debut; Petroski motivated to maintain veteran status and impose grappling control.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Andre Petroski: -170, Cam Rowston: +142	Andre Petroski	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Andre Petroski: -3.5 115, Cam Rowston: +3.5 -155	Andre Petroski -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -130, Under 2.5: +100	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Andre Petroski -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Andre Petroski to win by decision

Predicted Score: Andre Petroski wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Petroski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-14
• Time: 3:45 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Atlanta

Game Overview

Middleweight bout featuring Edmen Shahbazyan, a striker with explosive power and knockout ability, against Andre Petroski, a skilled wrestler and grappler. Shahbazyan is favored due to his striking and recent knockout wins, while Petroski relies on wrestling, top control, and grappling endurance. The match could be decided by whether Shahbazyan keeps the fight standing or Petroski successfully imposes his grappling game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Edmen Shahbazyan is coming off a sharp first-round KO in his last fight and has more finishing upside (12 KOs/TKOs in career). Petroski is strong on the ground with effective wrestling and jiu-jitsu, but less dangerous with his striking and lacks recent stoppage wins.
• First meeting between the two; no prior head-to-head records.
• No reported injuries or late changes ahead of the bout.
• Both fighters are motivated to regain momentum. Shahbazyan is looking to continue his recent success and re-establish himself as a contender, while Petroski aims to show his grappling can overcome striking threats.
• High for both: Shahbazyan looking to build on recent KO and secure higher-ranked opponents; Petroski motivated to prove his grappling can dominate at this level.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	{'Edmen Shahbazyan': -170, 'Andre Petroski': 142 (approx. +142)}	Edmen Shahbazyan	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	{'Edmen Shahbazyan -3.5': -150, 'Andre Petroski +3.5': 110}	Edmen Shahbazyan -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	{'Over 1.5': -145, 'Under 1.5': 114}	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Edmen Shahbazyan 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Edmen Shahbazyan by KO/TKO in the first two rounds is the most likely outcome based on his recent form and striking power, but Petroski’s wrestling could make the fight competitive if he secures takedowns early. Odds favor Shahbazyan for a quick finish.

Predicted Score: Shahbazyan via TKO/KO in Round 1 or 2