Michal Michalski vs. Andi Vrtacic Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Michal Michalski vs Andi Vrtacic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: ATM Studio, Warsaw, Poland

Game Overview

Michal Michalski and Andi VrtačiΔ‡ face off in a 3-round MMA bout at KSW 109. Michalski enters with a 12-5 record and recent strong form, while VrtačiΔ‡ has a 6-2 record and is returning from a break, marking this as a key matchup on the card.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michalski shows consistent activity and solid recent performance, suggesting better fight rhythm. VrtačiΔ‡, while talented, has less recent fight volume and is coming off a hiatus which may impact sharpness.
  • No prior head-to-head bouts between the two fighters, so no direct comparative data exists.
  • No reported injuries on either fighter heading into the bout, indicating both are at full health.
  • The fight takes place in Warsaw, Poland, potentially giving Michalski a slight home crowd advantage.
  • VrtačiΔ‡ appears motivated to return strongly to the spotlight after a break, while Michalski seeks to maintain momentum and improve his standing in KSW.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michal Michalski: -135, Andi Vrtacic: -105 Michal Michalski β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Michal Michalski -1.5 rounds: +120, Andi Vrtacic +1.5 rounds: -140 Michal Michalski -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michal Michalski 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Michal Michalski at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michal Michalski to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Michal Michalski wins via decision or late stoppage in round 3


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