Match Analysis: Marwan Rahiki vs Ananias Mulumba – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-15
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dana White's Contender Series
Game Overview
The fight features featherweight contenders Marwan Rahiki (6-0) and Ananias Mulumba (9-2). Rahiki is an undefeated technical striker with diverse striking arsenal and composure, while Mulumba is a physically strong, explosive athlete known for heavy ground-and-pound, volume striking, and powerful leg kicks. The match is expected to be fast-paced with Rahiki maintaining distance using clean combinations and Mulumba applying pressure with strength and volume inside, possibly winning by grappling dominance later. Early rounds should see fireworks, favoring Rahiki's precision but Mulumba's relentlessness and power may tell in the later stages.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rahiki is undefeated and has beaten solid competition with technical striking and effective combinations. Mulumba has more fights with a 9-2 record, showing athleticism, power, and versatility in striking and grappling. Mulumba's volume and pressure contrast with Rahiki's technical precision.
- No prior meeting between Rahiki and Mulumba; this is their first bout.
- No reported injuries for either fighter as the fight approaches.
- Fight takes place on Dana White's Contender Series, increasing motivation linked to UFC contract aspirations. The featherweight division matchup on October 15, 2025, at 02:00 UTC, with no travel or environmental concerns noted.
- Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a victory due to the Dana White's Contender Series event's potential impact on their UFC career opportunities. Rahiki's undefeated streak and Mulumba's more experienced pro record add personal stakes to this matchup.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marwan Rahiki: -220, Ananias Mulumba: +185 | Ananias Mulumba | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Marwan Rahiki: -1.5, Ananias Mulumba: +1.5 | Ananias Mulumba +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | over_2.5_rounds: -110, under_2.5_rounds: -110 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marwan Rahiki 96% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Marwan Rahiki at 96% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 51.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ananias Mulumba to win via decision, leveraging his physicality, volume striking, and ground control over Rahiki's refined but possibly less tested pace.
Predicted Score: Ananias Mulumba wins by decision (29-28 on scorecards)