Match Analysis: Carl Fail vs Amir Abubaker – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Bournemouth International Centre, Bournemouth, United Kingdom

Game Overview

Carl Fail faces off against Amir Abubaker in a highly anticipated 10-round super welterweight bout. Fail is the strong favorite due to his superior boxing skill and amateur background, while Abubaker brings heavy hands and relentless pressure with notable knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

• Carl Fail is coming off a layoff but has shown strong preparation and amateur pedigree, while Amir Abubaker has built momentum with seven straight wins, six by knockout, demonstrating heavy-handed aggression.
• This is their first meeting with no direct prior matches to compare.
• No current injury reports for either fighter; Fail has recovered fully from his previous layoff.
• Fight night environment favors Fail who is fighting in the UK with home crowd support; Abubaker has a large following but is the away fighter.
• Both fighters are highly motivated: Fail aims to re-establish himself at the top level and pursue big titles, while Abubaker looks to build on recent momentum and upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Carl Fail: -260, Amir Abubaker: 200	Carl Fail	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Carl Fail -1.5 rounds: -130, Amir Abubaker +1.5 rounds: 110	Carl Fail -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds: -300, Under 8.5 rounds: 225	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Carl Fail -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 102%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 102% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carl Fail to win by decision or late stoppage

Predicted Score: Carl Fail wins by 10-round unanimous decision