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Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs. Texas State Bobcats Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Texas State Bobcats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: M.M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Game Overview

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (7-2) host the Texas State Bobcats (3-6) in a Sun Belt conference matchup. Southern Miss enters with a strong record and defensive edge, while Texas State struggles, especially on defense and getting turnovers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Southern Miss holds a 7-2 record with a solid defense ranking 63rd in points allowed (24.2 per game) and an opportunistic turnover margin (forced 25, allowed 9). Texas State is 3-6, ranking near the bottom defensively (125th in points allowed at 34.8) and has struggled to force turnovers (5 forced, 13 allowed). Southern Miss also has better recent form, winning 4 of the last 5 games.
  • Historically, Southern Miss has dominated Texas State, winning their last 11 home games as favorites against Texas teams. Texas State has lost its last four road games and failed to cover the spread in seven consecutive games.
  • No major injury reports affecting starters reported for either team, allowing full-strength lineups.
  • Weather forecast expects 77°F and clear conditions with no wind or rain, favoring a stable offensive game environment at home advantage for Southern Miss.
  • Southern Miss is motivated to maintain momentum late in the season for potential bowl positioning, while Texas State's motivation is tempered by a losing record and underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southern Miss -175, Texas State +145 Southern Miss ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Southern Miss -3.5 -112, Texas State +3.5 -108 Southern Miss -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 65.5 -112, Under 65.5 -108 Under 65.5 ★★★☆☆ 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 65.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 65.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles to win straight up, cover the -3.5 spread, and the total points to go under 65.5.

Predicted Score: Southern Miss 31, Texas State 24


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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

Game Overview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-2) host the struggling Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-8) in a CUSA matchup. The Hilltoppers are heavy favorites, with a dominant offense and solid defense compared to Middle Tennessee's poor record and defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Western Kentucky averages 30.1 points per game (59th nationally) and allows 22.8 (51st), while Middle Tennessee scores 20.1 (121st) and allows 32 (111th). The Hilltoppers have covered the spread in 7 of 9 games, while Middle Tennessee has covered only 4 of 9.
  • Recent trends show Western Kentucky has dominated Middle Tennessee, with the Blue Raiders losing 11 of their last 12 games overall and 14 of their last 16 on the road.
  • No major injuries reported for either team.
  • Game is played at Western Kentucky's home stadium with no weather concerns. The Hilltoppers are favored by 13.5 points, indicating a significant gap in perceived strength.
  • Western Kentucky is fighting for a strong conference finish, while Middle Tennessee is likely playing for pride after a difficult season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -535, away: 400 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home: -13.5 -115, away: 13.5 -105 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -13.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under over: 55.5 -112, under: 55.5 -108 Under 55.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 55.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Western Kentucky will win decisively, covering the spread and keeping the game under the total due to Middle Tennessee's offensive struggles.

Predicted Score: Western Kentucky 34, Middle Tennessee 18


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Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Jose State Spartans Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Jose State Spartans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, Nevada

Game Overview

The San Jose State Spartans (3-6) visit the Nevada Wolf Pack (1-8) in a Mountain West Conference matchup. San Jose State is a clear favorite given their superior record and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • San Jose State has shown moderately better performance this season with a 3-6 record compared to Nevada's poor 1-8. Nevada is on a 0-5 losing streak and struggling especially at home, while the Spartans have been playing more competitively.
  • Recent head-to-head results favor San Jose State, who have covered the spread more consistently against Nevada. Nevada's recent home performance against the Spartans has been weak.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team, ensuring both sides can field their typical starters and defensive units.
  • Weather is mild and stable in Reno with temperatures around 53°F and no rain expected. No travel issues or other disruptions are apparent.
  • San Jose State aims to improve their standing and secure a better season finish, which provides them extra motivation. Nevada, having a disappointing season, may lack the momentum and confidence to mount a strong challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nevada Wolf Pack: +265, San Jose State Spartans: -330 San Jose State Spartans ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Nevada Wolf Pack +9.5: -112, San Jose State Spartans -9.5: -108 San Jose State Spartans -9.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 50.5: -106, Under 50.5: -114 Under 50.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Jose State Spartans -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Jose State Spartans to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -9.5 spread, and the game to finish under the total of 50.5 points.

Predicted Score: San Jose State Spartans 27 – Nevada Wolf Pack 14


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Missouri State Bears vs. UTEP Miners Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Missouri State Bears vs UTEP Miners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Robert W. Plaster Stadium

Game Overview

Missouri State Bears (6-3) host UTEP Miners (2-7) in a Conference USA matchup. The Bears are favored on the moneyline and spread, with a total set at 49.5 points. Both teams have struggled with injuries and inconsistent offensive production.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Missouri State has won 3 of their last 5 games and 3 of their last 5 ATS, but their offense has been limited, averaging 3.49 YPC and 13.9 yards per point. UTEP has lost 5 straight, averaging 3.58 YPC and 15.58 yards per point, with a weak turnover margin and poor road record.
  • No recent H2H data available, but Missouri State has a clear edge in overall record and conference standing.
  • Missouri State is missing LB Jalen Brooks (out). UTEP has multiple key injuries: WRs Tate, Rhone, Smith, Bell Jr., TEs Ezinwa, Cheeks, Clinton, RB Thomas, LB Dyman, and WR Hill. These absences severely impact UTEP's offensive and defensive depth.
  • Game is at Missouri State's home stadium. Weather is favorable (74°F, 0% rain, light wind). Missouri State’s home totals have gone under in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • Missouri State is fighting for a winning season and bowl eligibility. UTEP is out of contention and has little to play for, which may affect effort and focus.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -192 Missouri State Bears ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread -4.5 -108 Missouri State Bears -4.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under 49.5 -108 Under ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Missouri State Bears -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri State Bears to win outright and cover the spread, with the game finishing under the total.

Predicted Score: Missouri State 24, UTEP 17


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New Mexico Lobos vs. Colorado State Rams Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: University Stadium (NM), Albuquerque, New Mexico

Game Overview

New Mexico Lobos (6-3, 3-2 MW) host Colorado State Rams (2-7, 1-4 MW) in a Mountain West matchup. The Lobos are strong favorites at home, while the Rams are struggling offensively and defensively, especially on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico has won 6 of 9, including 5 straight at home, and has scored at least 33 in their last two games. Colorado State has lost 3 in a row, scoring only 29 total points in those losses, and has failed to cover the spread in 5 of their last 6 games as underdogs.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 meetings. New Mexico has won the first half in 3 of their last 4 home games against conference opponents.
  • No major injuries reported for either team.
  • Game is at altitude in Albuquerque, which favors New Mexico’s home advantage. Weather is expected to be clear.
  • New Mexico is playing for a strong conference finish and bowl eligibility. Colorado State is out of contention and has lost 9 of their last 10 November games as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -700, away: 500 New Mexico Lobos Not available
Spread home: -14.5, away: 14.5 New Mexico Lobos -14.5 Not available
Over/under over: 53.5, under: 53.5 Under 53.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Mexico Lobos 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico wins comfortably and covers the spread. The game stays under the total due to Colorado State’s offensive struggles and New Mexico’s defensive consistency.

Predicted Score: 34-17


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Georgia State Panthers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Center Parc Stadium

Game Overview

Marshall Thundering Herd (4-5) hosts Georgia State Panthers (1-8) in a Sun Belt matchup. Marshall is favored by 7.5 points with total set at 63.5. Georgia State struggles this season with a poor record and offensive/defensive metrics well below Marshall's.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marshall has a 4-5 record but shows stronger performance both offensively (32.9 PPG) and defensively (41 PA) compared to Georgia State's 21.1 PPG and 40.7 PA. Marshall also has a positive ATS record (6-3) whereas Georgia State is 1-8 overall.
  • Limited recent head-to-head data; however, Marshall's stronger conference standing and home advantage at Center Parc Stadium favor them.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team, indicating likely full-strength lineups.
  • Game played at Georgia State's home stadium, but momentum and quality clearly favor Marshall. Weather and conditions are standard for mid-November in Atlanta, neutral to impact.
  • Marshall, with a 4-5 record, aims to improve bowl eligibility chances, whereas Georgia State (1-8) has little to play for late in the season, reducing their incentive and competitiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Georgia State Panthers: +250, Marshall Thundering Herd: -310 Marshall Thundering Herd ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Georgia State Panthers +7.5: -110, Marshall Thundering Herd -7.5: -110 Marshall Thundering Herd -7.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 63.5: -110, Under 63.5: -110 Over 63.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marshall Thundering Herd -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 63.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 63.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marshall Thundering Herd to win outright, cover the -7.5 spread, and game to go over 63.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Marshall 38 – Georgia State 24


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UAB Blazers vs. North Texas Mean Green Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: UAB Blazers vs North Texas Mean Green – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Protective Stadium, Birmingham, AL

Game Overview

North Texas, a strong 8-1 team, is heavily favored with a dominant offense (44.4 points per game) and superior defense compared to UAB’s underwhelming 3-6 record and weaker defense, positioning them as the clear favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • North Texas boasts a top-3 ranking in offensive points per game and a solid defense ranking 61st. They are 7-2 against the spread this season. UAB has struggled defensively, allowing 37.1 points per game (ranked 129th), and has only covered three times in nine games.
  • Recent matchups heavily favor North Texas, with strong performances and multiple covers as a significant favorite, indicating a historical advantage.
  • No major injuries reported for either team impacting key players for this matchup.
  • The game is played at UAB’s home stadium, Protective Stadium, but North Texas has historically performed well on the road, including in Alabama. Weather and other external factors do not appear significant.
  • North Texas is motivated to maintain dominance and secure postseason positioning, while UAB, with a losing record, has less at stake though they have home advantage and a recent trend of covering the spread at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +810, away: -1400 North Texas ★★★★★ 90%
Spread home: -105, away: -115 North Texas -18.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under over: -105, under: -115 Under 70.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Texas Mean Green -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 70.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 70.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Texas Moneyline, North Texas Cover -18.5, Under 70.5 total points

Predicted Score: North Texas 43, UAB 22


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Kentucky Wildcats vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Kentucky Wildcats vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Kroger Field, Lexington, Kentucky

Game Overview

Kentucky hosts undefeated FCS program Tennessee Tech in a matchup that pits an SEC team searching for bowl eligibility against a dominant Ohio Valley Conference powerhouse. While Tennessee Tech arrives 10-0, the talent and depth differential between FBS and FCS levels creates a heavily lopsided contest. Kentucky (4-5) recently defeated Florida 38-7 and Auburn, positioning themselves within striking distance of bowl eligibility with wins over Tennessee Tech and one of their remaining opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tennessee Tech is 10-0 in the OVC with legitimate offensive and defensive capabilities for an FCS program, but faces an SEC defense with superior athleticism and resources. Kentucky showed significant improvement in their last performance, demonstrating disciplined play with few penalties and good clock management. However, Kentucky sits 4-5 overall with inconsistent form throughout the season. Tennessee Tech's undefeated record, while impressive in FCS context, does not translate to FBS competition depth.
  • No prior head-to-head matchup data available. This is a rare FCS-FBS pairing with significant talent gap favoring Kentucky despite Tennessee Tech's perfect record.
  • No injury reports currently available for either team.
  • Kentucky desperately needs wins to reach bowl eligibility and faces a manageable schedule with Tennessee Tech. The home-field advantage at Kroger Field provides significant benefit. Weather conditions are favorable (65°F, 0% rain). Public betting heavily favors Kentucky at 72% of bets.
  • Kentucky has high motivation to secure a bowl bid with meaningful games remaining. Tennessee Tech, despite their success at the FCS level, faces the psychological challenge of stepping up in competition and being heavily underestimated.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kentucky -2500 / Tennessee Tech +1200 Kentucky Wildcats ★★★★★ 94%
Spread Kentucky -21.5 -110 Kentucky -21.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 52.5 -105 / Under 52.5 -115 Under 52.5 ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kentucky Wildcats -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 52.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kentucky will dominate this matchup decisively. The spread of -21.5 significantly undervalues the talent differential between an FBS SEC program and an FCS opponent. Expect Kentucky to control tempo, limit Tennessee Tech's offensive opportunities, and win comfortably by 25+ points.

Predicted Score: Kentucky 38, Tennessee Tech 10


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Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Oregon State Beavers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Oregon State Beavers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium

Game Overview

Oregon State Beavers (2-8) face the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-7) in a late-season NCAAF matchup. Both teams are struggling, but Oregon State is favored by 2.5 points with a total set at 48.5 points. The game is expected to be close, with both teams averaging just over 50 points per game this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oregon State has shown slightly better offensive consistency, averaging 52.3 points per game overall, with a higher implied total on the road (39.3). Tulsa has struggled defensively, allowing the over in 2 of their last 5 games and 2 of their last 4 at home. Both teams have poor ATS records, but Oregon State’s road scoring is a key differentiator.
  • No recent H2H data available for this matchup.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team.
  • Game is played in Tulsa, Oklahoma, with mild weather (78°F, 0% rain, light wind), favorable for offensive play.
  • Both teams are out of playoff contention, but Oregon State may have a slight edge in motivation to finish the season with a win and avoid a winless road record.
  • Oregon State is favored and has shown better scoring ability, especially on the road. The total is set at 48.5, which is below both teams’ recent scoring averages, suggesting value on the over.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oregon State Beavers: -136, Tulsa Golden Hurricane: 116 Oregon State Beavers Not available
Spread Oregon State Beavers: -2.5, Tulsa Golden Hurricane: 2.5 Oregon State Beavers -2.5 Not available
Over/under over: 48.5, under: 48.5 over Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oregon State Beavers 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 41%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

No prediction available.

Predicted Score: Oregon State 28 – Tulsa 24


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Arizona State Sun Devils vs. West Virginia Mountaineers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: Arizona State Sun Devils vs West Virginia Mountaineers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ

Game Overview

Big 12 matchup featuring Arizona State (6-3, 4-2 Big 12) hosting West Virginia (4-6, 2-5 Big 12). Arizona State is favored as the home team with superior record and conference standing. West Virginia enters on a two-game winning streak but remains a significant underdog. This game will heavily feature running game dynamics and quarterback mobility.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arizona State is 4-1 in their last 5 games with 2-2 ATS record in that span. They average 24.7 points per game and allow 23.7 points against. West Virginia has won 2 straight games including a 29-22 victory over Colorado, with freshman QB Scotty Fox Jr. performing well (2-1 as starter). West Virginia covers spreads at a 4-5 rate against conference opponents recently and has covered in 4 of last 5 conference games.
  • No direct head-to-head history provided in available data. However, Arizona State's recent record shows they struggle to cover as favorites against non-AP-ranked teams (failed to cover in 3 of last 4 such games).
  • Arizona State will be without receiver Jordyn Tyson due to injury, forcing reliance on QB Jeff Sims' mobility. This limits Arizona State's passing game efficiency.
  • West Virginia has shown proficiency in the running game (57% run rate, 4.5 yards per carry – 27th in FBS) under Head Coach Rich Rodriguez. Arizona State has struggled defensively against dual-threat QBs and designed QB runs, giving up 38 points to BYU and 48 to Utah earlier in the season.
  • Arizona State is tied for fifth in Big 12 standings and seeking to improve conference positioning. West Virginia is near the bottom of conference standings and fighting for bowl eligibility, providing desperation motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline ASU -460 | WVU +360 Arizona State Sun Devils ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread ASU -11.5 -105 | WVU +11.5 -115 Arizona State -11.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 48.5 -105 | Under 48.5 -115 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arizona State Sun Devils -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arizona State will cover the spread, but this is a closer contest than the 11.5-point line suggests. West Virginia's improved run game and Fox's mobility will keep them competitive, but Arizona State's superior talent and home field advantage prevail.

Predicted Score: Arizona State 27, West Virginia 17


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