Match Analysis: Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: July 11, 2025
- Time: 1:34 AM UTC
- Location: Madison Square Garden, New York
Game Overview
Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano meet for their third fight, this time with Taylor's undisputed junior welterweight titles on the line. The event is part of an all-women's card at Madison Square Garden, marking a significant moment for women's boxing.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both fighters have shown high-level performance in their previous encounters, with Taylor winning the first two fights. Serrano, however, has been a formidable opponent, pushing for changes in the fight format.
- Taylor has won both previous fights, though Serrano was competitive and felt she did enough to win the second bout.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the match.
- The fight format remains at 10 two-minute rounds due to sanctioning body decisions, despite Serrano's push for longer rounds.
- Serrano seems highly motivated after dropping her WBC title in protest, while Taylor aims to solidify her legacy.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Taylor: 162, Serrano: -192 | Serrano | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5: -900, Under 8.5: 550 | Over | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Amanda Serrano -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8.5 -22% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Amanda Serrano at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Serrano is predicted to win due to her enhanced motivation and the competitive nature of their previous encounters.
Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Amanda Serrano