Match Analysis: Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 9:45 PM UTC
• Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

Tatiana Suarez faces Amanda Lemos in a highly anticipated strawweight bout, with Suarez favored due to superior striking accuracy and defense, recent competitive form, and motivation to rebound after her first career loss.

Key Factors to Consider

• Suarez holds an 11-1 record with a high striking accuracy (61%) and strong defense, allowing only 1.58 significant strikes per minute. Lemos is 15-4-1, landing 54% of strikes and absorbing 3.46 per minute, indicating Suarez's dominance in striking exchanges.
• No prior head-to-head fights recorded between Suarez and Lemos.
• No current injury reports affecting either fighter as of fight week.
• Fight takes place at a neutral venue; no external environmental or travel-related disadvantages reported.
• Suarez is highly motivated to rebound from her first career loss and reassert her position as a title contender. Lemos aims to break into the top tier with a win, making the motivation relatively even but with Suarez slightly favored due to recent title experience.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Tatiana Suarez -455 / Amanda Lemos +350	Tatiana Suarez	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Tatiana Suarez -7.5 (-140) / Amanda Lemos +7.5 (+100)	Tatiana Suarez -7.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds (+100) / Under 2.5 rounds (-130)	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tatiana Suarez -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tatiana Suarez to win by decision

Predicted Score: Suarez wins by unanimous decision (3-0 rounds)

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Alessandro Costa vs. Alden Coria Prediction	Alessandro Costa Win	-410	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Jose Daniel Medina vs. Dusko Todorovic Prediction	Dusko Todorovic Win	-340	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Tatiana Suarez vs. Amanda Lemos Prediction	Tatiana Suarez Win	-455	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -104

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $39.27

Match Analysis: Iasmin Lucindo vs Amanda Lemos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 8, 2025
• Time: 3:15 AM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Amanda Lemos and Iasmin Lucindo face off in a highly anticipated women's strawweight bout at UFC 313. Both fighters are from Brazil and have impressive records, with Lemos holding a 14-4-1 record and Lucindo at 17-5-0. The fight is expected to be closely contested, with Lucindo favored due to her recent success.

Key Factors to Consider

• Amanda Lemos is known for her strong striking skills but has shown vulnerability on the ground. Iasmin Lucindo has demonstrated tactical prowess, particularly in decision victories. Lucindo's recent win against Marina Rodriguez highlights her adaptability.
• This is the first meeting between Amanda Lemos and Iasmin Lucindo. Both fighters have strong backgrounds in MMA, but there is no prior head-to-head data.
• There are no reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match.
• The fight takes place at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, which could favor neither fighter specifically. However, Lucindo's momentum from recent victories might give her an edge.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Lemos seeking to rebound from her last loss and Lucindo aiming to extend her win streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Amanda Lemos: +120, Iasmin Lucindo: -142	Iasmin Lucindo	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Amanda Lemos: +3.5 -220, Iasmin Lucindo: -3.5 160	Iasmin Lucindo	★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -270, Under 2.5: 200	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Iasmin Lucindo is favored to win due to her recent form and tactical abilities.

Predicted Score: Iasmin Lucindo wins by decision.