Match Analysis: Alfie Middlemiss vs Mohammed Wako – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-05
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: AO Arena, Manchester, Lancashire
Game Overview
A four-round featherweight boxing bout between undefeated Alfie Middlemiss and Mohammed Wako, who has struggled with a 1-5 record. The fight features two orthodox stance fighters and no belts on the line. Middlemiss, from Manchester, carries a clean 3-0 record into this fight, while Wako, from York and originally Ethiopia, is aiming to reverse his fortunes after multiple losses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Alfie Middlemiss is undefeated (3-0) with all wins, showing strong early potential though his previous opponents were not highly ranked. Mohammed Wako has a struggling record of 1 win and 5 losses, indicating challenges in competitive performance at this level.
- No prior head-to-head bouts between Alfie Middlemiss and Mohammed Wako have been recorded.
- No reported injuries or physical setbacks for either fighter prior to this match.
- The fight is held in Middlemiss's hometown (Manchester), possibly favoring him with home crowd support. The event is streamed by DAZN, indicating good media coverage and pressure to perform, especially on Middlemiss.
- Middlemiss is motivated to maintain his undefeated streak and build his reputation, while Wako is driven by the need to redeem himself after a poor fight history.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alfie Middlemiss: -6000, Mohammed Wako: 1800 | Alfie Middlemiss to win | ★★★★★ 92% |
| Spread | Alfie Middlemiss: -4.5 rounds, Mohammed Wako: +4.5 rounds | Alfie Middlemiss to win by a comfortable margin | ★★★★☆ 88% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5 rounds: -150, Under 3.5 rounds: +120 | Under 3.5 rounds, predicting a relatively quick finish | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alfie Middlemiss -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Alfie Middlemiss at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Alfie Middlemiss is strongly favored to win this match given his undefeated record, home advantage, and opponent's poor fight record.
Predicted Score: Alfie Middlemiss wins by unanimous decision or stoppage within 4 rounds