Match Analysis: Alexei Pergande vs Ethan Goss – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-22
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: PFL World Tournament 10 Finals, Charlotte, North Carolina
Game Overview
A featherweight showdown between dominant favorite Alexei Pergande and underdog Ethan Goss in the PFL Finals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pergande has shown dominant form recently with multiple decisive wins, demonstrating strong striking and grappling; Goss has struggled against top-tier opponents and lacks recent significant victories.
- No documented previous encounters between Pergande and Goss, making this a first-time matchup.
- No known recent injuries reported for either fighter, both appear to be in peak condition.
- Fight taking place in a neutral but highly competitive environment; Pergande benefits from momentum and crowd support at the finals.
- Pergande is highly motivated aiming for the tournament championship; Goss is motivated but considered an underdog with less to lose.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alexei_Pergande: -900, Ethan_Goss: 600 | Alexei Pergande | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Alexei_Pergande_-1.5_rounds: -350, Ethan_Goss_+1.5_rounds: 280 | Alexei Pergande -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Over/under | Over_1.5_rounds: -435, Under_1.5_rounds: 295 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alexei Pergande -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Alexei Pergande at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Alexei Pergande to win by moneyline with strong control.
Predicted Score: Pergande wins via decision or late-round TKO in round 3 or 4