Match Analysis: Alexander Loof vs Aiden Lee – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-27
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, United Kingdom
Game Overview
The main event at Cage Warriors 190 'Unplugged' features a featherweight bout between Aiden Lee and Alexander Lööf scheduled for June 27, 2025. This fight is set for three rounds at the 145 lbs featherweight limit. Lee is the more experienced fighter with 13 wins against 9 losses, while Lööf has a strong undefeated record of 7 wins and no losses. The bout will be streamed live on UFC Fight Pass, starting at 8:00 PM BST from the BEC Arena in Manchester.
Key Factors to Consider
- Aiden Lee shows a more extensive fight record (13-9) with a balanced finishing ability (3 KO/TKO and 8 submissions), indicating a versatile skill set. Alexander Lööf is undefeated (7-0) with fewer finishes by submission but a solid decision win ratio (5 out of 7). Lööf's undefeated streak and fewer losses suggest rising momentum, but Lee's experience and grappling prowess cannot be underestimated.
- No direct head-to-head match history is available between Lee and Lööf, making this their first encounter at a major promotion.
- No public reports of current injuries or health issues for either fighter heading into the bout.
- The fight takes place in Manchester at the BEC Arena, potentially giving some home advantage to Alexander Lööf if he is more acclimated or locally supported. The event is invite-only, which might elevate pressure and focus for both athletes.
- Aiden Lee aims to rebound and prove himself against an undefeated opponent, bringing motivation from a strong grappling camp. Alexander Lööf looks to maintain his unbeaten record, leveraging his youth and momentum to elevate his standing in the featherweight division.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Aiden Lee: -144, Alexander Lööf: 104 | Alexander Lööf | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Aiden Lee -1.5: -110, Alexander Lööf +1.5: -110 | Alexander Lööf +1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Aiden Lee 12% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Aiden Lee at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Alexander Lööf by decision. Lööf's undefeated record combined with a strong striking and decision game suggests he will outpoint Lee over three rounds despite Lee's submission threat. Lööf's youth and recent form give him a slight edge in endurance and pace.
Predicted Score: Alexander Lööf wins by unanimous decision