Match Analysis: Aqib Fiaz vs Alex Murphy – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-05
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: Manchester Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

Aqib Fiaz faces Alex Murphy in a 10-round lightweight boxing match at Manchester Arena. Fiaz holds a slight edge in experience and power, with a professional record of 13-1 and 15% KO rate, compared to Murphy's 13-1 with no KOs. Murphy is younger by one year and has a 2-inch height advantage. Both fight orthodox and the bout appears on the undercard of the Jack Catterall vs Harlem Eubank event.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fiaz is known for aggressive pacing and stamina that overwhelms opponents mid-fight; he has competed in more rounds (85) than Murphy (76). Murphy, despite less power, is confident and motivated, having accepted the fight on short notice and eager to prove himself.
• No direct past encounters between Fiaz and Murphy to date. Both have similar overall records and experience.
• No reported injuries or fitness concerns for either fighter ahead of the match.
• Fight held at home venue for Fiaz (Manchester Arena), giving him potential home crowd support. Murphy took the fight on 11 days' notice, showing determination but less preparation time.
• Murphy's motivation is heightened by the short notice opportunity and desire to prove himself. Fiaz aims to leverage experience and power to secure a decisive win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Aqib Fiaz: -125, Alex Murphy: 100	Aqib Fiaz	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Fiaz -1.5 rounds: -110, Murphy +1.5 rounds: -110	Fiaz -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds: -120, Under 8.5 rounds: 100	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Aqib Fiaz 4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aqib Fiaz at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aqib Fiaz is favored to win by decision or late-round stoppage due to greater experience, stamina, and slight power advantage, despite Murphy's height and youth advantages and strong motivation.

Predicted Score: Fiaz wins by decision or late stoppage around round 8-10

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Skye Nicolson vs. Carla Camila Campos Prediction	Over 6.5 rounds	1.85	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Aqib Fiaz vs. Alex Murphy Prediction	Aqib Fiaz Win	-125	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
Pat Brown vs. Lewis Oakford Prediction	Under 6.5 rounds	-110	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +250

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $70

Match Analysis: Khaleel Majid vs Alex Murphy – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-05
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Las Vegas

Game Overview

This junior welterweight boxing match features Khaleel Majid against Alex Murphy. The fight is part of a larger event, with both fighters looking to make a statement in their division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Khaleel Majid is favored to win, which suggests he has been performing better recently or is perceived as having a higher skill level. However, there is no clear head-to-head history between the two fighters to draw significant conclusions.
• No past head-to-head matches between Khaleel Majid and Alex Murphy are reported, making it difficult to base predictions on past results.
• There are no reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this match.
• External factors such as crowd support and live event atmosphere may influence the fight. However, as it is in Las Vegas, it's unclear which fighter will benefit more.
• Both fighters will be highly motivated to win, as victory could attract significant attention from major promoters.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Predicted Outcome

Khaleel Majid is likely to win given his favored status in the odds.

Predicted Score: N/A