Match Analysis: Claudio Pacella vs Aleksandr Chizov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: PFL Europe Week 3 Venue (Specific venue not available)

Game Overview

Lightweight semifinal match between Claudio Pacella (6-2) fighting out of Dublin, Ireland, and Aleksandr Chizov (12-1) competing in the PFL 2025 season. Both fighters have strong records in the lightweight division, with Chizov demonstrating dominance with a higher winning percentage and finishing ability.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pacella trains with SBG Ireland, known for producing well-rounded fighters. Chizov has shown consistency with a 12-1 record and multiple early finishes in the PFL, indicating strong performance momentum.
• No direct previous matchups found between Pacella and Chizov, making this their first encounter. Historical matchup data unavailable.
• No publicly available information on current injuries for either fighter ahead of the match.
• Event is part of PFL Europe Week 3, adding importance as a semifinal. Fighters may be motivated by championship progression and potential PFL accolades. Live odds indicate market confidence favoring Chizov.
• Chizov enters as a top contender with a nearly perfect record, likely seeking to maintain momentum. Pacella, with fewer fights at this level, has a strong desire to prove himself and advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Aleksandr Chizov: -164, Claudio Pacella: 134	Aleksandr Chizov	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Aleksandr Chizov: -1.5 rounds -110, Claudio Pacella: +1.5 rounds -110	Aleksandr Chizov -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Aleksandr Chizov -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aleksandr Chizov at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aleksandr Chizov is favored to win due to his superior record, finishing capability, and current betting market confidence. Expect a competitive bout with Chizov likely winning by decision or early finish.

Predicted Score: Aleksandr Chizov wins by decision or stoppage within 3 rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Vincent del Guerra vs. Sofiane Aïssaoui Prediction	Vincent del Guerra Win	-390	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Claudio Pacella vs. Aleksandr Chizov Prediction	Aleksandr Chizov Win	-164	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Dean Garnett vs. Jan Cieplowski Prediction	Dean Garnett Win	-150	★★★★☆ 73% (73%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +237

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $67.42

Match Analysis: Mark Ewen vs Aleksandr Chizov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-10
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

The lightweight MMA bout between Mark Ewen and Aleksandr Chizov is scheduled for May 10, 2025, at The SSE Arena in Belfast. Both fighters bring strong credentials and are part of the main card. Ewen enters as a favorite with a strong record and home advantage, while Chizov, known as 'Pretty Boy,' is returning to the cage with notable experience and resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mark Ewen has shown consistent performance in recent fights with a strong record and tactical striking. Aleksandr Chizov holds a solid 10-3-0 record and has demonstrated resilience and versatility in his fights.
• No direct head-to-head encounters recorded between Ewen and Chizov, making this a fresh matchup without previous fight data between them.
• No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter at present, suggesting both are at full fitness for the bout.
• The fight is held in Belfast, which may favor home crowd support for Mark Ewen, potentially boosting his performance. Chizov's recent activity and training environment details are limited but appear stable.
• Ewen, fighting at home and as a favorite, is motivated to maintain his winning streak. Chizov aims to upset the odds and capitalize on his experience to claim a significant win on an international stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mark Ewen: -350, Aleksandr Chizov: 225	Mark Ewen	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Mark Ewen: -1.5 (favored), Aleksandr Chizov: +1.5 (underdog)	Mark Ewen -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 1.85, Under 1.5 rounds: 1.95	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mark Ewen -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mark Ewen at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mark Ewen is predicted to win by decision or late stoppage, leveraging his home advantage, consistent recent performances, and status as favorite in betting odds.

Predicted Score: Mark Ewen wins by decision or late round stoppage

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Mark Ewen vs. Aleksandr Chizov Prediction	Mark Ewen Win	-350	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Haider Khan vs. Sean McCormac Prediction	Haider Khan Win	-390	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Alexa Grasso vs. Natalia Silva Prediction	Natalia Silva Win	-250	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +126

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $45.23