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Match Analysis: Anthony Orozco vs Aldo Pereira – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: RDS, Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

This is a Welterweight prelims MMA fight between Anthony Orozco and Aldo Pereira, scheduled for September 27, 2025, at Cage Warriors 194. Both fighters are competitive, with Orozco favored by bookmakers but Pereira holding outsider potential based on odds movements.

Key Factors to Consider

• Anthony Orozco is strongly favored with consistent dominant performances and a -1408 closing moneyline, indicating strong confidence from bookmakers. Aldo Pereira has longer odds ranging from +240 up to +1000, showing he's seen as the underdog but with some price movement indicating possible value.
• No prior head-to-head data is available for this matchup, suggesting this will be their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter are indicated in the available data, implying both are likely entering the fight in normal health and conditioning.
• The fight takes place at the RDS in Dublin, Ireland, which is neutral ground for both fighters (Orozco from USA, Pereira from Brazil). No external factors such as travel or environmental conditions appear to heavily favor either fighter.
• Anthony Orozco has publicly expressed readiness and motivation for a 'stellar performance' against Aldo Pereira with posts indicating strong mental preparation. Pereira’s motivation level is less documented but likely high given his underdog status and opportunity to upset a favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Anthony Orozco: -1408, Aldo Pereira: +1000	Anthony Orozco	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Anthony Orozco -1.5 rounds: -120, Aldo Pereira +1.5 rounds: +100	Anthony Orozco -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Orozco is predicted to win the match by decision or late stoppage due to his strong finishing ability and favored status, with Aldo Pereira potentially challenging early but unlikely to sustain advantage throughout.

Predicted Score: Anthony Orozco wins by decision or TKO in round 3

Match Analysis: Francesco Mazzeo vs Aldo Pereira – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: TBD

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Francesco Mazzeo and Aldo Pereira on June 27, 2025, promises a compelling contest, with Mazzeo entering as the betting favorite. Mazzeo’s robust striking and overall MMA experience contrast with Pereira’s grappling expertise, setting the stage for a classic striker vs. grappler matchup. The fight is anticipated to test each athlete's ability to impose their style effectively.

Key Factors to Consider

• Francesco Mazzeo has demonstrated strong recent performances characterized by effective striking and consistent fight control. Aldo Pereira, on the other hand, brings a solid grappling background, making the fight dynamic and tactically interesting. Both fighters have shown improvements but Mazzeo's recent form and power give him the edge.
• There are no recorded previous encounters between Mazzeo and Pereira, making this their inaugural fight against one another. This adds an element of unpredictability, with both fighters likely relying heavily on game plans tailored to neutralize each other's strengths.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, indicating both athletes should be at full physical capacity for the fight.
• The fight date is fixed for June 27, 2025, with no venue confirmed yet publicly. No other external factors such as travel issues or legal problems have been noted that might affect fighter preparation or performance.
• Both athletes appear highly motivated; Mazzeo looks poised to maintain his winning momentum, while Pereira aims to prove his grappling prowess against a favored striker. This motivation could elevate the intensity and unpredictability of the fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Francesco Mazzeo: -450, Aldo Pereira: 275	Francesco Mazzeo to win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Mazzeo -1.5 rounds	Mazzeo to cover the spread	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Francesco Mazzeo -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Francesco Mazzeo at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Mazzeo’s favored status and strong striking ability combined with Pereira’s grappling challenge, the prediction leans toward Francesco Mazzeo winning by decision or late stoppage if he manages to maintain distance and control. Pereira’s best path to victory is to bring the fight to the ground early to exploit his grappling specialty.

Predicted Score: Francesco Mazzeo wins by decision or TKO in round 3