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Match Analysis: Oklahoma Sooners vs Alcorn St Braves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-23
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Lloyd Noble Center, Norman, OK

Game Overview

The Oklahoma Sooners (3-2) host the Alcorn State Braves (0-6) in a highly one-sided NCAA basketball matchup. Oklahoma is heavily favored at home with a strong scoring offense and a solid defensive record, while Alcorn State struggles with defense allowing over 90 points per game and carries a six-game losing streak. The game is expected to be dominated by Oklahoma, with Alcorn State seeking to avoid a prolonged losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oklahoma has a 3-2 early season record with recent decisive wins, showing strong offense averaging around mid to high 90s points in wins; defensively, they limit opponents fairly well. Alcorn State is 0-6, allowing 90+ points per game while averaging about 67.5 points offensively, struggling to maintain competitiveness.
• No recent direct head-to-heads are noted in available data, but Oklahoma has consistently outperformed similar calibre teams and holds a significant points and spread advantage.
• No specific injury reports or major player absences have been noted for either team in the sourced data.
• Game played at Oklahoma's home venue, giving them a strong home-court advantage. Oklahoma historically performs well in home day games, though has shown some vulnerability in first halves of such games. No other external conditions like weather or travel fatigue reported.
• Oklahoma aims to establish dominance and secure another clear home win; Alcorn State is motivated to break a 6-game losing streak and improve their season record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Oklahoma Sooners: -33333, Alcorn St Braves: +4000	Oklahoma Sooners Win	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Oklahoma Sooners: -29.5 -114, Alcorn St Braves: +29.5 -106	Oklahoma Sooners to Cover	★★★★★ 92%
Over/under	Over 162.5: -110, Under 162.5: -110	Over 162.5 Points	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 162.5 -99%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oklahoma Sooners are heavily favored to win convincingly given their superior performance metrics, home advantage, and Alcorn State's current losing streak and defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: Oklahoma Sooners 94 – Alcorn St Braves 70

Match Analysis: LSU Tigers vs Alcorn St Braves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: Tuesday, November 18, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Pete Maravich Assembly Center, Baton Rouge, Louisiana

Game Overview

LSU Tigers (3-0) host the struggling Alcorn State Braves (0-5) in a heavily lopsided matchup. The Tigers are operating as one of the nation's most efficient offenses, ranking 19th in field goal percentage at 54.7%, while Alcorn State has been one of the worst teams in college basketball this season, averaging just 64.8 points per game on 43% shooting. This is a classic David versus Goliath scenario where the home team is heavily favored to dominate on both ends of the court.

Key Factors to Consider

• LSU enters this game undefeated with consistent offensive efficiency, scoring 94.5 points per contest while shooting 54.7% from the field and 75.4% from the free throw line. The Tigers are also strong on the glass with 47.5 rebounds per game and distribute 21.0 assists per contest (23rd in the nation). Alcorn State, conversely, has won zero games this season, averaging only 65.0 points per game while shooting 41.4% from the field and connecting on just 39.8% of three-pointers. The Braves' defense has been historically poor, allowing 87 points per game.
• No prior matchup history is available between these programs in the current dataset, making this an opening encounter for the season series.
• LSU's forward Jalen Reed is out for the season with a knee injury, which removes depth from the Tigers' frontcourt but does not significantly impact their expected performance in this matchup.
• LSU is playing at home where they have shown strong form, with the over hitting in 2 of their last 3 home games. The Tigers are 3-0 in their last 5 games and maintain undefeated status. Alcorn State's road struggles are evident, having lost their last game by 8 points away from home.
• LSU is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and home court dominance. Alcorn State is desperate to secure their first win of the season after a 0-5 start, but they face a significantly superior opponent in all statistical categories.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	LSU -10000 | Alcorn St +3300	LSU Tigers Win	★★★★★ 99%
Spread	LSU -29.5 (-110) | Alcorn St +29.5 (-110)	LSU Covers -29.5	★★★★☆ 88%
Over/under	Over 157.5 (-110) | Under 157.5 (-110)	Over 157.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	LSU Tigers -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 157.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 157.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

LSU will dominate this matchup decisively. The Tigers' elite offensive efficiency combined with Alcorn State's historically poor defensive metrics create a scenario where LSU should win by approximately 25-35 points. Multiple experts project a final score of LSU 104, Alcorn State 55, suggesting a potential blowout win for the home team. The public betting data shows 96% of moneyline money on LSU, indicating overwhelming confidence in the Tigers' victory.

Predicted Score: LSU 104, Alcorn State 55 (LSU wins by 49)

Match Analysis: Howard Bison vs Alcorn St Braves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 13, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Burr Gymnasium, Washington, DC

Game Overview

Howard Bison (1-2) hosts Alcorn State Braves (0-4) in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Howard enters as heavy favorites with a 6.5-point spread after a disappointing 73-70 loss to Grambling. Alcorn State continues to struggle on the road, having lost all four games this season by significant margins. This matchup represents a critical opportunity for both teams to establish momentum, with Howard seeking consistency at home and Alcorn State desperate for their first victory of the season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Howard averages 80.0 PPG on 48.5% shooting from the field, 46% from three, and 74.2% from the free throw line. The Bison are dishing out 18.3 assists per game (92nd in college) while forcing 14.3 turnovers per contest. They collect 30.3 rebounds per game and shoot 52.1% in recent games. Alcorn State averages 65.3 PPG (323rd in Division I) on 42.6% shooting with 40.0% from three and 64.2% from free throw. The Braves have been outscored by an average of 25.75 points in their four losses (losing by 32, 6, 45, and 20 points respectively). Alcorn State's offensive execution ranks near the bottom of Division I.
• Howard is 0-2 against the spread in their last two games and 0-2 in their last five games overall. However, they hold a home court advantage where they have gone 0-2 ATS. Alcorn State is 2-2 against the spread for the season but has lost each of their last 36 road games against non-conference opponents, including losses in the first half in 16 of their last 17 night games against non-conference opponents.
• No specific injury information is available in the provided data.
• The game is played in Washington, DC at Howard's home venue (Burr Gymnasium), providing the Bison a significant home-court advantage. Both teams are playing night games, which historically favors Alcorn State negatively (they lose first halves in most night road games). The matchup is broadcast on ESPN+, allowing both teams access to regional exposure.
• Howard is motivated to bounce back after their close loss to Grambling and establish consistency at home. Key performers include Bryce Harris (20.7 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 2.3 SPG, 4.3 APG), Alex Cotton (15.3 PPG), and Cam Gillus (12.3 PPG, team-high 5.0 APG). Alcorn State desperately needs a victory to avoid extending their 0-game start, but their 0-36 road record against non-conference opponents and historically poor first-half performance on the road severely limits their outlook. Additionally, Howard has lost only one of their last six games to non-conference opponents at home with strong shooting percentages.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Howard Bison: -300 | Alcorn State Braves: +240	Howard Bison	★★★★☆ 82%
Spread	Howard Bison: -7.5 (-105) | Alcorn State Braves: +7.5 (-115)	Howard Bison -7.5	★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under	Over 155.5 (-115) | Under 155.5 (-105)	Under 155.5	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Howard Bison -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 155.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 155.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Howard Bison are heavily favored to win this matchup. The Bison's superior shooting efficiency (48.5% vs 42.6%), better three-point shooting (46% vs 40%), higher free throw percentage (74.2% vs 64.2%), and home-court advantage create a significant talent and situational disparity. Alcorn State's 0-36 road record against non-conference opponents and their tendency to lose first halves in night games compound their challenges. While Alcorn State has shown some resilience (losing by only 6 to South Alabama), they lack the offensive firepower to stay competitive with a well-rounded Howard team. Howard's 6.5-point spread is justified, and the Bison should control this game throughout.

Predicted Score: Howard Bison 78, Alcorn State Braves 69

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Howard Bison vs. Alcorn St Braves Prediction	Howard Bison -7.5	-105	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Lafayette Leopards vs. Cornell Big Red Prediction	Cornell Big Red Win	-240	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Utah Jazz vs. Atlanta Hawks Prediction	Atlanta Hawks Win	-134	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +383

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $96.6

Match Analysis: Maryland Terrapins vs Alcorn St Braves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-12
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: XFINITY Center, College Park

Game Overview

Maryland Terrapins host Alcorn State Braves in a non-conference matchup. Maryland enters with a 1-1 record, coming off a home loss to Georgetown, while Alcorn State is 0-3 and winless on the road. Maryland is heavily favored, with a spread of -30.5, and the total is set at 151.5 points. The game is expected to be a defensive battle, with both teams struggling offensively in recent outings.

Key Factors to Consider

• Maryland has shown inconsistency, averaging 71.5 points per game and allowing 65.5 points per game. Their offense is shooting only 35.5% from the field, and their last game was a 70-60 loss to Georgetown. Alcorn State has been outscored significantly, averaging 65.3 points per game and allowing 93 points per game. They have lost their last three games by an average of 29 points.
• Maryland won the last meeting 96-58. Maryland has a strong record against non-conference opponents, winning 17 of their last 17 Tuesday games and 18 of their last 19 first halves at home. Alcorn State has lost 35 consecutive road games against non-conference opponents.
• Maryland is missing key players: Solomon Washington (ankle) and Rakease Passmore (Achilles). Myles Rice is coming off the bench after an ankle injury. Alcorn State has no reported injuries.
• Maryland's home court advantage at XFINITY Center is significant, with a strong record in non-conference games. The game is expected to be low-scoring, with both teams' recent games averaging under 145 points. The public betting is overwhelmingly on Maryland, with 100% of bets on the Terrapins.
• Maryland is looking to bounce back from a disappointing loss to Georgetown and establish momentum early in the season. Alcorn State is seeking its first win and trying to end a long road losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Maryland -300, Alcorn State +250	Maryland	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Alcorn St Braves +30.5 -112, Maryland Terrapins -30.5 -108	Alcorn St Braves cover	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 151.5 -110, Under 151.5 -110	Under	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 151.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 151.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Maryland is expected to win, but their offensive struggles and Alcorn State's ability to cover large spreads make the Braves a strong candidate to cover. The game is likely to stay under the total due to both teams' recent low-scoring trends and defensive matchups.

Predicted Score: Maryland 82, Alcorn State 62

Match Analysis: Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Alcorn St Braves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Williams Arena, Minneapolis, Minnesota

Game Overview

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (1-0) host the Alcorn State Braves (0-2) in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Minnesota enters as a heavy favorite, having won their opener decisively, while Alcorn State seeks their first win after two losses. The game is expected to feature a dominant performance by Minnesota given their home advantage and stronger recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Minnesota opened their season with an 87-60 home win over Gardner-Webb, showcasing strong offense and defense. Alcorn State lost their last two games, including a 76-70 loss to South Alabama, where they struggled defensively allowing 52.8% shooting. Minnesota has a +27 point differential in their single game, while Alcorn State is -38 over two games.
• There is no recent direct head-to-head data available between Minnesota and Alcorn State, but Minnesota's strong recent performances in a more competitive conference position them as clear favorites.
• No specific injury reports are available for either team before the game, indicating likely full rosters for both sides.
• The game takes place at Minnesota's home court, Williams Arena, providing them a significant home court advantage. The crowd and familiar environment may boost Minnesota's performance.
• Minnesota is motivated to start the season strong at home and justify their heavy favoritism. Alcorn State aims to stop their two-game losing streak and prove competitiveness despite the odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Minnesota: -10000, Alcorn State: +3300	Minnesota win	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Minnesota: -29.5 -110, Alcorn State: +29.5 -110	Minnesota -29.5	★★★★★ 90%
Over/under	Over: 159.5 -110, Under: 159.5 -110	Under 159.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 159.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 159.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Minnesota Golden Gophers are predicted to win comfortably by covering the large spread. The total points scored are likely to stay under the 159.5 line due to Minnesota's controlled pace and Alcorn State's defensive limitations but offensive struggles. Expect Minnesota to dominate possession and shooting efficiency.

Predicted Score: Minnesota Golden Gophers 89 – 58 Alcorn State Braves

Match Analysis: South Alabama Jaguars vs Alcorn St Braves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-07
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: South Alabama Home Court

Game Overview

The South Alabama Jaguars are strong favorites hosting the Alcorn St Braves in this NCAA basketball matchup. South Alabama's dominant home performance and strong recent coverage of large spreads highlight their advantage. Alcorn St is a significant underdog, reflected by heavily shifted moneyline odds and a large point spread favoring the Jaguars.

Key Factors to Consider

• South Alabama has been consistent in covering spreads and controlling game tempo at home, with an 18-13 record against the spread and strong under total tendencies in recent games. Alcorn St struggles offensively against strong defensive teams and faces difficulty overcoming large spreads. South Alabama's offense and defense rankings in their conference further underscore their edge.
• Recent meetings show South Alabama dominating Alcorn St, often winning by large margins. There is a clear trend of South Alabama outperforming Alcorn St both offensively and defensively in head-to-head matchups.
• No significant injury reports found for either team at this time, suggesting both squads will likely be at full strength.
• Playing at home provides South Alabama with crowd advantage and familiarity, enhancing their probability to cover the spread and manage the game's pace effectively. No adverse weather or travel issues are impacting either team.
• South Alabama, as a favored home team and conference competitor, is motivated to maintain strong early season form, while Alcorn St aims to pull off an upset but faces an uphill battle given current form and odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alcorn St Braves: 800, South Alabama Jaguars: -1667	South Alabama Jaguars win	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Alcorn St Braves: -16.5 -113, South Alabama Jaguars: 16.5 -113	South Alabama Jaguars to cover -16.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over: 141.5 -114, Under: 141.5 -112	Under 141.5 points	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	South Alabama Jaguars -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 141.5 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 141.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

South Alabama Jaguars will win convincingly, covering the large spread and the game to finish under the total points line given both teams' recent scoring patterns and South Alabama's defensive prowess.

Predicted Score: South Alabama Jaguars 78 – Alcorn St Braves 59

Match Analysis: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs Alcorn St Braves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-14
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Moore Gymnasium

Game Overview

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats host Alcorn St Braves in a crucial SWAC matchup. Both teams have shown competitive performances recently, with Alcorn State securing a 78-74 win over Bethune-Cookman in their last meeting.

Key Factors to Consider

• Alcorn State has been strong in recent games, with key players like Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt and Marcus Tankersley contributing significantly. Bethune-Cookman, however, has struggled with consistency, despite strong individual performances from players like Daniel Rouzan and Trey Thomas.
• Alcorn State has had recent success against Bethune-Cookman, winning their last two matchups. In their most recent game, Alcorn State secured a 78-74 victory on the road.
• There is no reported injury information that would significantly impact the game.
• Home advantage could play a role for Bethune-Cookman, but Alcorn State's recent form suggests they can perform well on the road.
• Both teams are motivated to secure wins in the SWAC, but Alcorn State's recent victories might give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Spread	Alcorn St Braves +2.5 -110, Bethune-Cookman Wildcats -2.5 -110	Alcorn St Braves +2.5	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 134 -105, Under 134 -115	Over 134	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Alcorn State Braves to win outright.

Predicted Score: Alcorn State Braves 72, Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 69

Match Analysis: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Alcorn St Braves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-08
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions host Alcorn St Braves in an NCAA basketball match. Alcorn State has shown strong performance in recent games, while Arkansas-Pine Bluff has struggled with consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

• Alcorn State has been performing well, with recent wins showcasing their strength. Arkansas-Pine Bluff has had mixed results, often struggling to maintain a consistent level of performance.
• In their last meeting, Alcorn State beat Arkansas-Pine Bluff 104-95, highlighting Alcorn's offensive prowess. Arkansas-Pine Bluff has struggled against Alcorn in recent encounters.
• No specific injury reports are available for this match.
• Home advantage could slightly benefit Arkansas-Pine Bluff, but Alcorn State's recent form suggests they might overcome this.
• Both teams are motivated to win, but Alcorn State's recent success might give them an edge in confidence and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alcorn St Braves: -280, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: 180	Alcorn St Braves	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Alcorn St Braves: -6 -110, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: 6 -110	Alcorn St Braves	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over: 145.5 -110, Under: 145.5 -110	Over	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Alcorn State Braves are likely to win due to their recent form and past performance against Arkansas-Pine Bluff.

Predicted Score: Alcorn St Braves 78, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 70

Match Analysis: Miss Valley St Delta Devils vs Alcorn St Braves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-07
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: Mississippi Valley State

Game Overview

Alcorn State Braves are heavily favored against the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils. Alcorn State has shown strong performance at home, while Mississippi Valley State struggles on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

• Alcorn State is 7-3 straight up in their last ten home games, while Mississippi Valley State is 1-9 straight up in their last ten road games. Alcorn State is 6-3-1 against the spread in their last ten home games.
• Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Alcorn State generally performs better against Mississippi Valley State.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is played at Mississippi Valley State, which might slightly favor the home team, but Alcorn State's strong away performance could mitigate this.
• Both teams are motivated, but Alcorn State's stronger season performance may give them an edge in motivation and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alcorn St Braves: -6000, Miss Valley St Delta Devils: 825	Alcorn St Braves	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Alcorn St Braves: -18 -110, Miss Valley St Delta Devils: 18 -110	Alcorn St Braves	★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under	Over: 127.5 -110, Under: 127.5 -110	Under	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Alcorn State Braves are likely to win due to their strong home and away performance compared to Mississippi Valley State's struggles.

Predicted Score: Alcorn State Braves 75, Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils 55