Match Analysis: Iowa Hawkeyes vs Albany – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-30
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City

Game Overview

This is a season opener NCAA football game between Big Ten powerhouse Iowa Hawkeyes and the underdog Albany Great Danes, an FCS-level program. Iowa is heavily favored due to superior conference strength, roster depth, and historical performance in top-tier college football.

Key Factors to Consider

• Iowa enters fresh off a solid 12-29 ATS record in last 30 days but historically strong on offense and defense vs lower-tier teams, expected to dominate in all phases. Albany, an FCS team, has no recent top-level performances and is playing on the road against a top Power Five conference team.
• No prior matchups; this is the first meeting between Iowa and Albany, so no direct head-to-head data is available.
• No injuries reported for either team, ensuring both lineups are at full strength.
• Weather expected to be ideal—mild temperature around 72°F, minimal wind and no rain forecasted at Kinnick Stadium, favoring a clean, high-scoring game by Iowa.
• Iowa is motivated to start the season strongly at home against an overmatched opponent, aiming to build momentum. Albany will play the underdog role with little pressure, possibly focusing on gaining experience rather than winning.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Iowa Hawkeyes -20000, Albany N/A	Iowa Hawkeyes	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Iowa Hawkeyes -38.5 (-115), Albany +38.5 (-105)	Iowa Hawkeyes -38.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 50.5 (-110), Under 50.5 (-110)	Over 50.5	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 50.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa Hawkeyes to win decisively, covering the large spread and the game going over the total points line.

Predicted Score: Iowa Hawkeyes 52 – Albany 10