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Alavés vs. Celta Vigo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alavés vs Celta Vigo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 22 November 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Deportivo Alavés hosts Celta Vigo in a La Liga matchday fixture at their home stadium. Alavés, sitting 10th in the standings, face an away Celta Vigo side looking to improve their position. This is a strategic defensive clash where Alavés' solid home record and compact defensive system will be tested against Celta's attacking capabilities, highlighted by the form of Borja Iglesias.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés have demonstrated exceptional home strength with only one defeat in the current La Liga campaign and have conceded more than one goal in a match just once this season, showcasing a well-organized defensive unit. The team averages 0.9 goals scored per game. Celta Vigo average 1.3 goals per game but struggle significantly against compact defensive organizations, regularly dropping points when facing solid defensive lines. Borja Iglesias leads Celta's attack with 5 goals and 2 assists, ranking 7th in La Liga's top scorers.
  • Over the last 10 encounters, Celta Vigo have dominated with 6 victories compared to Alavés' 2 wins and 2 draws. In last season's matchups, Alavés failed to secure victory, losing 1-2 at Balaidos and drawing 1-1 at Mendizorroza. Head-to-head scoring averages show Alavés at 1.0 goals while Celta average 2.1 goals per game in direct encounters. The historical advantage belongs to Celta despite Alavés' current home-ground strength.
  • Specific injury information is not available in the provided sources. Current team lineups and injury status should be verified through official team announcements prior to match kickoff.
  • Alavés' home advantage at Estadio de Mendizorroza is a significant factor, with the team's fortress-like defense at home. Celta's struggles against defensive systems similar to Alavés' three-central-defender formation present tactical challenges. Weather conditions and crowd support favor the home side.
  • Alavés seek to maintain their impressive home record and consolidate their position in the upper-middle standings. Celta Vigo aim to break their pattern of underperforming against compact defenses and capitalize on their superior recent head-to-head record to climb the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés 151 | Draw 200 | Celta Vigo 205 Alavés Win ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Alavés -0.25 112 | Celta Vigo 25 -134 Alavés -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.25 105 | Under 2.25 -125 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés 56%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alavés at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alavés are favored to secure a victory at home due to their exceptional defensive organization, limited goals conceded at Mendizorroza, and Celta's documented struggles against defensive compactness. However, Celta's superior head-to-head record and attacking prowess through Borja Iglesias present genuine danger. The match is expected to be low-scoring given both teams' averages and Alavés' defensive strategy.

Predicted Score: Alavés 1-0 Celta Vigo


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Girona vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Girona vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Montilivi, Girona, Spain

Game Overview

Girona, currently ranked 20th in La Liga, faces Alavés, sitting 8th, at Girona's home ground Estadi Montilivi. Girona has struggled this season with more losses and fewer goals scored than Alavés, who show a better overall form and defensive record. The match is crucial for Girona to improve their standings while Alavés aims to consolidate their position in the top half.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona ranks 20th with 10 goals scored and 12 conceded in the season; Alavés is 8th with a stronger attack and defense, scoring 11 goals and conceding 7. Girona's recent matches show a tendency for low-scoring games against Alavés, with the last 3 meetings ending under 2.5 goals. Alavés have better clean sheet statistics and average player ratings.
  • The last three competitive matches between Girona and Alavés all finished with under 2.5 total goals, indicating tightly contested defensive games. Both teams have split results in prior encounters but Alavés generally holds an upper hand.
  • No significant injury information is available from the current data; however, both teams are expected to field close to their best lineups for this important match.
  • Playing at home should aid Girona, but their current form and low league standing pose challenges. The weather or pitch conditions are not specified but Estadi Montilivi is a familiar venue for Girona.
  • Girona is motivated to break their relegation zone position by securing points at home. Alavés, sitting comfortably in the top 10, will be motivated to maintain momentum and extend their lead over mid-table competitors.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Girona: 1.44, Alavés: 2.05, Draw: 2.15 Girona to win ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Girona: -0.25 @ 1.08, Alavés: +25 @ 1.28 Girona -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25: -1.02, Under 2.25: -1.18 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona 29%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Girona at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be a close contest with a slight edge to Alavés due to better form and league position. A low-scoring game is anticipated, possibly a narrow win for Alavés or a draw.

Predicted Score: Girona 1 – 1 Alavés


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Alavés vs. Espanyol Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alavés vs Espanyol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Game Overview

The La Liga round eleven match features Alavés hosting Espanyol at Estadio Mendizorrotza. Alavés is currently 12th in the league with 12 points from 10 matches, having a mixed recent form (L-D-W-L-D), including a 1-0 away loss to Rayo Vallecano. Espanyol, in contrast, is performing better, positioned 5th with 18 points, with recent form being W-W-L-D-D and a 1-0 home win over Elche in their last game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés has a moderate midfield league standing and a slightly inconsistent recent form, struggling defensively in away matches. Espanyol has been relatively more consistent, securing more wins recently and positioned higher in the league table, indicating better overall performance.
  • Historically, Espanyol has had a stronger edge over Alavés, reflected in league standings and recent mutual encounters though specific recent head-to-head match results are not detailed here. Both teams show competitive gameplay but Espanyol’s superior league position suggests a psychological advantage.
  • No explicit injury information is available from the current data, implying potentially full-strength squads or lack of publicly notable absences for both teams.
  • The match is played at Alavés' home ground, Estadio Mendizorrotza, providing a home advantage to Alavés. Weather or other external impacts are not specified.
  • Espanyol, being higher in the standings and aiming to consolidate a top 5 league position, may have stronger motivation. Alavés seeks to improve their mid-table position to avoid relegation pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 143, Espanyol: 225, Draw: 195 Alavés to win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Alavés -0.25: 105, Espanyol +25: -125 Alavés -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 53%
Over/under Over 2: -112, Under 2: -108 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alavés at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Espanyol is favored to win given their better league standing, recent form, and overall team performance, but a narrow Alavés home advantage may keep the match competitive.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Rayo Vallecano vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Rayo Vallecano (11th) hosts Alavés (10th) in a tightly contested La Liga fixture where both teams are separated by just one position, indicating similar form and quality. The match is expected to be competitive, with Rayo holding slight momentum at home and Alavés looking to build on their current standing. Key attacking players, such as Rayo's Álvaro García (most big chances created), could be decisive. Both sides have been involved in close encounters recently, and the margin for error is slim for either team[1][2].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rayo Vallecano have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches, showing improved offensive output. Alavés has maintained a mid-table consistency, but their recent form is not specified in the available data. Rayo is on a two-match winning streak against Alavés, including a 2-0 victory in the most recent encounter[2][7]. Both teams are middle-of-the-table, so outright dominance is not evident.
  • In the last 5 meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won 3 times, Alavés 2 times, with Rayo winning the last two fixtures (including a 0-2 away win in March 2025). This recent trend favors Rayo psychologically and tactically[2][7].
  • No specific injury reports are available for either team at the moment.
  • The match will be played at Estadio de Vallecas, Rayo's home, which could provide a slight edge. Weather and tactical adjustments will influence proceedings, but no major red flags are noted[1].
  • Both teams are close in the standings and fighting to push for a higher mid-table finish. Rayo will aim to continue their recent dominance over Alavés, while Alavés seeks to reverse the trend and climb above their hosts. The home side's offensive momentum could be the difference-maker in a tight contest[1][2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rayo Vallecano: 103, Draw: 212, Alavés: 315 Rayo Vallecano win or Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alavés: 50 -122, Rayo Vallecano: -0.5 102 Rayo Vallecano -0.5 (Asian Handicap) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2 -115, Under: 2 -105 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rayo Vallecano -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rayo Vallecano, buoyed by recent head-to-head success and home advantage, are slight favorites, but Alavés cannot be discounted given the close league positions. Expect a competitive, possibly low-scoring match with moments of individual quality deciding the outcome. Betting value may lie in the under market or a narrowly home-biased result.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Rayo Vallecano


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Alavés vs. Valencia Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alavés vs Valencia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-20
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga match features Deportivo Alavés hosting Valencia. Alavés currently sit 10th in the league standings while Valencia are lower, at 15th. Both teams have shown competitive form in head-to-head meetings, with Alavés narrowly winning the last direct encounter. The game is expected to be a close contest given past results and current form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés have been in relatively good form, securing a 3-1 home win on 10/5 and maintaining a higher league position (10th). Valencia, placed 15th, have shown less defensive solidity (5 clean sheets to Alavés' 6) but created more shots on goal (29 compared to Alavés' 25). Leading players include Carlos Vicente for Alavés with 3 goals and Hugo Duro for Valencia also with 3 goals. Both teams have crucial contributors in attack but Alavés have slightly better defensive records as per latest data.
  • Last season, Alavés won the home game 1-0 while the reverse fixture ended in a draw. Historical matchups suggest a tightly contested rivalry with no dominant side emerging decisively in recent meetings.
  • No explicit injury information available from current search results, suggesting no major absences reported close to the match date.
  • The match is at Alavés' home ground, Estadio de Mendizorroza, which provides them home advantage. Weather or other unusual external factors are not reported.
  • Alavés, positioned higher, would be motivated to consolidate their standing, while Valencia will likely be hungry to pull away from the relegation-threatened zone. Competitive league positioning and recent form both add significant motivation for both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 123, Valencia: 255, Draw: 210 Alavés Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alavés -0.25: -112, Valencia +25: -108 Alavés -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alavés at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Alavés' home advantage, better league position, and previous head-to-head win, a cautious prediction favors a narrow Alavés victory or a draw.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 20, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 20, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense Prediction Vasco da Gama 205 37%
Alavés vs. Valencia Prediction Alavés 123 23%
West Ham United vs. Brentford Prediction West Ham United 144 20%

Combined Odds: +1560 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $331.91

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Mallorca vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Mallorca vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi de Son Moix, Palma, Spain

Game Overview

Mallorca faces Alavés in a La Liga match where Mallorca is struggling, ranked 19th with no wins in six matches, while Alavés is mid-table at 10th with a balanced record of two wins, two draws, and two losses. Mallorca needs a win badly and plays at home under pressure, while Alavés aims to extend their stability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mallorca is winless in their opening six matches and recently lost 1-0 to Real Sociedad, while Alavés has a mixed start with two wins, two draws, and two losses, including a 1-1 draw with Getafe. Mallorca shows offensive struggles, and Alavés has more consistent form.
  • Recent head-to-heads show close low scoring matches between Mallorca and Alavés, with Mallorca having slight home field advantage. Last season they played twice, with balanced outcomes.
  • No specific injury data was provided, but Mallorca is reported to have off-field issues, including a falling out between manager Jago Arrasate and captain Dani Rodriguez, which could affect team morale and cohesion.
  • Mallorca’s off-field instability and pressure to win may influence performance negatively. Alavés appears stable with a solid mid-table position without major reported external disruptions.
  • Mallorca is in must-win territory due to poor form and managerial pressure. Alavés may be motivated to maintain their stable mid-table status but with less urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 245, Mallorca: 130, Draw: 200 Mallorca to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alavés: -0.25 -112, Mallorca: +25 -108 Mallorca -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2 goals 108, Under: 2 goals -128 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mallorca 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mallorca at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mallorca to win in a low-scoring game, with an emphasis on under 3.5 total goals, given Mallorca’s home advantage and urgency combined with Alavés’s balanced but not dominant form.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Getafe vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Getafe vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-24
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga match between Getafe and Deportivo Alavés will be held at Getafe's home stadium, Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. Both teams currently rank mid-table (Getafe 8th, Alavés 10th) and have a very competitive history, with previous head-to-heads showing a close balance in wins and draws. The teams are similarly matched, making this an evenly poised encounter in the early 2025/26 season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Getafe is currently performing solidly at home with a strong defense but moderate attacking output. Alavés have shown decent form away and have been effective in counter-attacks. Both teams have a balanced attack-defense ratio, with recent matches favoring slightly more goals scored than conceded.
  • In the last 10 encounters between Getafe and Alavés, Getafe won 3, Alavés won 4, and 3 matches ended in draws. The teams tend to produce close matches with a competitive balance. Recent matches featured low to moderate scoring, and no clear dominance is evident.
  • Getafe will miss Juanmi due to injury, which may slightly weaken their attacking options. Alavés have Nikola Maras unavailable, impacting their defensive line stability. Both teams have relatively key players fit and available.
  • The match is played at Getafe's home ground, which gives them a modest home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are normal with no unusual external impacts reported. The match timing ensures full team fitness and recovery from recent fixtures.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points early in the season to improve league standings. Given their close league positions, a win would significantly impact confidence and momentum. Neither team can afford to lose ground, making the match competitive and tension-filled.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Getafe: 130, Alavés: 255, Draw: 195 Draw ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Getafe: -0.25 -108, Alavés: +25 -112 Getafe -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 1.75 +100, Under: 1.75 -120 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Getafe 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Getafe at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tightly contested match is expected, with a slight edge for Getafe due to home advantage and overall form. Draw is a strong probable outcome, but a narrow win for Getafe is plausible. The game is likely to feature moderate scoring, leaning towards underscoring the defensive strengths of both sides.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Alavés vs. Sevilla Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alavés vs Sevilla – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Deportivo Alavés and Sevilla meet in La Liga Round 5 at Estadio de Mendizorroza. Alavés have had a mixed start with two wins, a draw, and recent victory over Athletic Club. Sevilla, historically stronger, have struggled in recent seasons and enter as slight underdogs according to current odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés have scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches, including a notable 1-0 win at Athletic Club. Sevilla traditionally stronger but currently perceived as less dominant, with recent performances showing inconsistency.
  • Historically, Sevilla has had the upper hand in encounters with Alavés. However, Alavés' recent form at home has been resilient, creating a balanced matchup outlook.
  • Alavés have key doubts with Carlos Protesoni (muscle injury) and Nikola Maras (ligament injury) uncertain for the match, which could affect their defensive stability. No major injury concerns reported for Sevilla.
  • The match takes place at Alavés' home ground, which typically favors the hosts. Weather conditions expected to be mild and favorable. No other significant external disruptions reported.
  • Alavés motivated to consolidate their bright start and climb away from relegation threats early in the season. Sevilla motivated to halt a disappointing run and assert their status as La Liga contenders.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 1.39, Sevilla: 2.15, Draw: 2.12 Alavés win ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Alavés -0.25: 1.02, Sevilla +25: 82 Alavés -0.25 spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 goals: 82, Under 2 goals: 1.02 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alavés at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match with Alavés slight home advantage and current positive momentum balanced against Sevilla’s technical superiority and history. The prediction leans toward a narrow Alavés win or draw.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao, Spain

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao, currently 2nd in La Liga, hosts Alavés, who are 11th, at San Mamés in a key La Liga match. Athletic Bilbao holds a 5-point lead in the league and has shown stronger recent form and home dominance. Alavés have struggled away but remain competitive. This fixture features two Basque rivals with a recent history of tightly contested matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao have a strong league start, positioned 2nd with consistent home performances and an effective attack and defense balance. Alavés, mid-table 11th, have shown mixed form with weaker away results, scoring and conceding at moderate rates.
  • Recent head-to-head matches indicate Athletic Bilbao's dominance, including two meetings last season with favorable results. Historically, Athletic performs well at home against Alavés, often controlling possession and chances.
  • No explicit current injury data available for either team, suggesting lineups may be near full strength. Absent key players are not reported.
  • The match takes place at Athletic's San Mamés stadium with strong home crowd support. No adverse weather or external disruptions noted. This Basque derby carries local motivation for both teams.
  • Athletic Bilbao aims to maintain their top league position and extend their lead, adding strong incentive. Alavés looks to improve their standing with an upset on the road, driven by the rivalry intensity and league points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: -179, Alavés: 525, Draw: 290 Athletic Bilbao ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Athletic Bilbao -1: 100, Alavés +1: -120 Athletic Bilbao -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao is favored to win the match by a comfortable margin due to superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance over Alavés. Expect a competitive game but with Athletic controlling the pace and scoring opportunities.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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