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Alavés vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alavés vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Alavés (14th) hosts Osasuna (9th) in a La Liga match where both sides are in the lower middle section of the table. Osasuna is in better recent form, and their head-to-head record strongly favors them against Alavés. Alavés seeks to break a 10-game winless streak against Osasuna in La Liga, while Osasuna aims to maintain their dominance and secure a top-half finish.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Osasuna ranks higher (9th) and has shown better recent results compared to Alavés (14th). Osasuna likely has better squad depth and consistency this season.
  • Osasuna is unbeaten in the last 10 La Liga encounters against Alavés, indicating a clear psychological edge[4][5].
  • No major injury updates available from current sources. This field should be monitored for late updates.
  • No significant external factors reported; weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal for the time of year. Match is at home for Alavés.
  • Osasuna has more to gain with a top-half finish, while Alavés is expected to finish mid-table. Both teams are safe from relegation, but Osasuna has slightly more motivation for final standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 215, CA Osasuna: 135, Draw: 225 CA Osasuna ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alavés: 25 -120, CA Osasuna: -0.25 100 CA Osasuna (-0.25) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.25 105, Under: 2.25 -125 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CA Osasuna -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Osasuna is favored due to superior league position, head-to-head dominance, and better form. Alavés is the underdog at home, risking another loss to Osasuna.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Valladolid vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Valladolid vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio José Zorrilla

Game Overview

Valladolid hosts Alavés in a crucial La Liga fixture, with both teams aiming for valuable points in the closing stages of the season. Alavés are slight favorites on the road, while Valladolid hopes to leverage home advantage for a much-needed result. Historically, matches between these sides have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals in 8 of the last 9 meetings at Valladolid's ground[3][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés have shown better form and are clear favorites according to bookmakers. Valladolid, despite home advantage, has struggled for consistency and goal-scoring efficiency, especially in recent home matches[5].
  • The most common result between these teams is 0-1, favoring Alavés. Under 2.5 goals has occurred in the majority of their recent encounters[3][5].
  • No key injury news reported in leading previews. Both teams are expected to field full-strength squads[1].
  • Stadium advantage for Valladolid, but no significant external disruptions expected[1].
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with possible implications for league standings, as the season approaches its final rounds[1][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: -165, Valladolid: 460, Draw: 295 Alavés win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alavés -0.75: -125, Valladolid +75: 105 Alavés cover (-0.75) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: 105, Under 2.5: -125 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a tightly contested match with few goals. Alavés are favored to edge out a narrow victory, but Valladolid's home form shouldn't be underestimated. The match is likely to be decided by a single goal, in line with historical trends between these sides.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Alavés vs. Valencia Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alavés vs Valencia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-14
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

This La Liga match features Alavés hosting Valencia at the Estadio de Mendizorroza. Alavés currently occupies 17th position, struggling near the relegation zone, while Valencia are placed 10th with a more stable mid-table standing. Both teams have been inconsistent, but Alavés have shown resilience at home with recent draws and a narrow win. Valencia have had mixed results but generally have a stronger squad depth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés have recorded recent results including a 1-0 home win against Real Sociedad and draws against Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, indicating a tough defensive side but limited goal scoring. Valencia have struggled for consistency with draws against Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla, though they have a slight edge in offensive capabilities and squad quality.
  • This season, Deportivo Alavés and Valencia have met once prior, with Valencia maintaining a slight historical advantage. The teams are competitive but games tend to be close with limited goal margins.
  • No major injury updates currently available for either side, suggesting both teams will likely field close to their strongest line-ups.
  • Playing at home is a slight advantage for Alavés, especially as they fight to avoid relegation. Weather conditions and pitch should be standard for May in Spain, unlikely to impact gameplay significantly.
  • Alavés are strongly motivated to secure points to avoid relegation, which may translate into a more defensive and cautious approach. Valencia, with mid-table security, may look to play more offensively but could rest key players for future fixtures.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 1.2, Valencia: 2.6, Draw: 2.2 Alavés win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alavés -0.25: -118, Valencia +25: -102 Alavés -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 1.05, Under 2.25: -1.25 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match with a slight edge to Alavés due to home advantage and higher motivation to gain points. Expect a low-scoring game with tight defense from both sides.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – May 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
CF Montreal vs. Columbus Crew SC Prediction Columbus Crew SC Win 120 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Philadelphia Union vs. LA Galaxy Prediction Philadelphia Union Win -155 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Alavés vs. Valencia Prediction Under 2.25 -125 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +551

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $130.3

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao, Spain

Game Overview

The match between Athletic Bilbao and Deportivo Alavés is a significant La Liga encounter, with Athletic Bilbao sitting higher in the standings than Alavés. This positioning suggests Athletic Bilbao has an advantage going into the match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao ranks 4th in La Liga, while Deportivo Alavés is ranked 17th. This disparity in league position indicates a potential performance difference between the two teams.
  • Historical data shows that Athletic Bilbao generally performs better against Alavés, which could influence the match outcome.
  • No specific injury information is available for this match, but it is crucial to check for any updates close to the match day.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could also impact the game, but these are less quantifiable factors.
  • Athletic Bilbao will likely be more motivated to win to maintain their position in the league, while Alavés may be looking to secure points to improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -115 for Athletic Bilbao, 360 for Alavés, and 235 for a draw Athletic Bilbao to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -0.5 for Athletic Bilbao at -112 and 50 for Alavés at -108 Athletic Bilbao to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 at -112 and Under 2 at -108 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the current standings and past performances, Athletic Bilbao is expected to win the match.

Predicted Score: Athletic Bilbao 1, Deportivo Alavés 0


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Alavés vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alavés vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Alavés (17th in La Liga) hosts Atlético Madrid (3rd) in a match where Atlético seeks a season sweep. Alavés aims to avoid relegation pressures, while Atlético fights for Champions League positioning.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético has stronger offensive metrics (53 goals scored vs. Alavés' 35) and defensive stability (25 goals conceded vs. 45)
  • Atlético leads recent encounters, including a prior victory this season
  • No specific injury data provided in sources
  • Alavés' home advantage countered by Atlético's superior squad quality
  • Atlético's UCL qualification push vs. Alavés' relegation battle urgency

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: +270, Atlético: +115, Draw: +220 Atlético Madrid High (45.8% modeled probability vs. 26.5% Alavés/27.8% draw)
Spread Alavés +25 (-100), Atlético -0.25 (-120) Atlético Madrid -0.25 Moderate (covers if they win outright)
Over/under Over 2 (-120), Under 2 (+100) Under 2 goals Medium (defensive focus likely)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid moneyline win (45.8% probability per predictive models) in a low-scoring affair

Predicted Score: 0-1 Atlético Madrid


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Alavés vs. Real Sociedad Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alavés vs Real Sociedad – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga match between Alavés and Real Sociedad on April 23, 2025, features a clash between a struggling Alavés side ranked 17th and a mid-table Real Sociedad currently 9th. The game is set at Alavés' home ground, Estadio de Mendizorroza, where the hosts will look to capitalize on home advantage to climb out of relegation danger. Real Sociedad, although positioned higher, have faced mixed results this season, making this encounter highly competitive with both teams hungry for points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés have shown some resilience at home but overall have struggled in the league, sitting near the relegation zone. Real Sociedad have been inconsistent but possess a stronger squad depth and have the ability to control games. Their recent form shows a slight edge to Alavés in terms of motivation to avoid relegation.
  • This season, the teams have met once before, with Real Sociedad generally having a better historical record. However, recent H2H data indicate close contests, with Alavés managing to keep the margin tight. Sofascore indicates balanced previous encounters and voting slightly favors Alavés at home.
  • No detailed injury updates are available from the search results, though typical squad rotations and minor injuries can be expected at this stage of the season without major absenteeism reported.
  • Playing at home gives Alavés a significant advantage, especially given their need for points to avoid relegation. Weather conditions and fan support are expected to favor the home side.
  • Alavés are highly motivated due to their precarious league position, fighting to stay clear of relegation. Real Sociedad, mid-table and safe, might lack the same level of urgency, possibly affecting their intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 1.35, Real Sociedad: 2.35, Draw: 2.1 Alavés win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Alavés -0.25: -102, Real Sociedad +25: -118 Alavés -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -108, Under 2: -112 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alavés -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home advantage and urgency for points, Alavés have a slight edge over Real Sociedad despite the odds suggesting some value on the home win. A tight, low-scoring game is likely, with Alavés favored to edge out a narrow victory or draw.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Sevilla vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-20
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Seville, Spain

Game Overview

This LaLiga match between Sevilla and Alavés sees two sides with differing fortunes. Sevilla, currently 14th, looks to improve its position, while Alavés, ranked 17th, fights to avoid relegation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sevilla has a better overall record this season, but Alavés has shown resilience in head-to-head encounters. Sevilla must rely on scorers like Dodi Lukebakio, while Alavés counts on Kike García.
  • Recent matches have seen Alavés win two of their last three encounters against Sevilla, which could give them confidence despite currently being lower in the standings.
  • Specific injury reports were not provided, but both teams should be cautious with their key players to ensure full strength.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán could influence the match in Sevilla's favor.
  • Both teams have strong motivation, with Sevilla aiming for a better league position and Alavés trying to escape relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 105, away: 310, draw: 215 Sevilla Not available
Spread away: -128, home: 108 Sevilla Not available
Over/under over: 100, under: -120 Under 2 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sevilla -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sevilla is favored to win due to home advantage and slightly better form, but Alavés's recent victories against them make this an unpredictable match.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to Sevilla


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Alavés vs. Real Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Alavés vs Real Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-13
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Game Overview

Alavés hosts Real Madrid in a La Liga match. Real Madrid has a strong record against Alavés, winning their last meeting 3-2. Despite injuries and recent losses, Real Madrid is favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alavés has struggled with consistency this season, while Real Madrid boasts high-quality talent like Kylian Mbappé. However, Real Madrid faces injuries and recent defeats.
  • Real Madrid generally dominates head-to-head matches, having won several recent encounters against Alavés.
  • Real Madrid has several players sidelined, including Dani Alaba and Fede Valverde. Alavés also has injuries, notably Antonio Sivera and Tomás Conechny.
  • Recent losses for Real Madrid could affect morale, but they remain a stronger side. Alavés will aim to capitalize on home advantage.
  • Both teams have different motivations; Alavés seeks to climb the table, while Real Madrid fights to secure a top spot.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés 400, Real Madrid -160, Draw 320 Real Madrid win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Alavés 75 @ 105, Real Madrid -0.75 @ -125 Real Madrid covers spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under Over 2.75 @ -108, Under 2.75 @ -112 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Real Madrid at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid to win the match due to superior team strength and recent head-to-head performance.

Predicted Score: Alavés 1, Real Madrid 3


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Girona vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Girona vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-05
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Montilivi

Game Overview

Girona, positioned eighth in La Liga, faces seventeenth-placed Alavés. Girona won the first meeting 1-0 this season. Both teams have had mixed performances lately. Girona recently lost to Barcelona 4-1, while Alavés suffered a 2-0 home loss to Rayo Vallecano.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona FC ranks better in standings but recently suffered a significant defeat. Alavés needs a win to avoid a season sweep by Girona. Girona scores an average of 1.3 goals per match, while Alavés concedes 1.5 goals on average.
  • In their last encounter on January 11, 2025, Girona won 1-0. Historically, Girona has won 4 out of 9 home matches against Alavés, with 3 draws and 2 wins for Alavés.
  • Girona's Bojan Miovski and Abel Ruiz were previously injured, impacting their lineup. For Alavés, Toni Martinez and Tomas Conechny were recently on the bench due to injuries.
  • Weather conditions could influence match dynamics, but detailed forecasts are not provided. The home advantage typically favors Girona.
  • Alavés is highly motivated to avoid a season sweep by Girona, while Girona aims to secure a home win to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 110 (Girona), 265 (Alavés), 240 (Draw) Girona ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread -0.25 (Girona) -125, 25 (Alavés) 105 Girona ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.25 -110, Under 2.25 -110 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Girona FC is likely to win due to their better league position and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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