Match Analysis: Nick Meck vs Alan Domínguez – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-20
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, Kansas
Game Overview
Welterweight showcase bout in the 2025 PFL World Tournament 6: Semifinals. Alan Domínguez (Mexico, 11-6) enters after a three-fight win streak ended by Lorenz Larkin in his PFL debut. Nick Meck (USA, Topeka, Kansas, 8-2) is looking for his first PFL win and fights in his home state. Both are determined to make their mark. This is a non-tournament, showcase fight as the main semifinals focus on Lightweight, Bantamweight, and Women's Flyweight[4][5].
Key Factors to Consider
- Alan Domínguez has a solid record but comes off a recent loss in the PFL. Nick Meck is 2-2 in his last four but has never been stopped, showing resilience. Both are motivated to secure their first PFL win[2][5].
- No prior H2H history. Meck fights in his home state, which may provide a slight edge in crowd support[1][5].
- No reported injuries or absences for either fighter as of now.
- Meck will have home crowd advantage in Wichita. The pressure is on both to perform, but Meck is the local favorite[5].
- Both fighters are seeking their first PFL win. Meck is motivated by fighting in front of a home crowd, while Domínguez aims to bounce back from his last loss[2][5].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alan Domínguez: 190, Nick Meck: -240 | Nick Meck | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nick Meck -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Nick Meck at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nick Meck is favored by bookmakers and backed by a home crowd. His resilience and local support may give him the edge over Domínguez, who is coming off a loss but is experienced. Expect Meck to utilize a well-rounded approach and capitalize on crowd energy.
Predicted Score: Decision victory for Nick Meck (expected to go the distance, with Meck winning via close but unanimous decision).