Match Analysis: Tomasz Romanowski vs Alain Van De Merckt – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: KSW 112

Game Overview

Middleweight matchup between Tomasz Romanowski and Alain Van De Merckt at KSW 112. This is a main card fight in the middleweight division featuring two competitors in a major European MMA promotion.

Key Factors to Consider

• Insufficient detailed statistical data available on recent form, fight records, striking accuracy, takedown defense, submission threat, and performance trends for both fighters.
• No head-to-head history data available in search results.
• No injury information available.
• Fight is scheduled for KSW 112, a major European MMA event. Romanowski appears to be the slight underdog based on current odds.
• Both fighters competing on a significant main card event, indicating high-stakes opportunity for both competitors.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Romanowski: +105 | Van De Merckt: -145	Van De Merckt	★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Draw -100%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on available odds, Van De Merckt is favored. However, insufficient statistical depth prevents a high-confidence directional prediction. The current market pricing suggests Van De Merckt has approximately 59% implied probability of victory versus Romanowski's 49% implied probability, with a slight vig adjustment.

Predicted Score: Unable to predict – insufficient fighter statistics, fighting styles, and historical performance data available. Recommend obtaining: recent fight records, striking/grappling statistics, finish rates, defense metrics, and stylistic matchup analysis before making high-confidence wagers.

Match Analysis: Alain Van De Merckt vs Borys Dzikowski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: KSW 109, Warsaw

Game Overview

This KSW 109 lightweight bout features Alain Van De Merckt (8-1) vs Borys Dzikowski (4-2). Van De Merckt is undefeated in recent fights, with a high finishing rate via submissions and knockouts. Dzikowski carries a solid but less dominant 4-2 record, with more KO/TKO victories than submissions. Both fighters are evenly matched on weight (~84 kg) and height (Van De Merckt slightly shorter).

Key Factors to Consider

• Van De Merckt is on a strong winning streak with an 8-1 record, showing versatility in finishing fights (3 KO/TKO, 5 submissions). Dzikowski has a respectable 4-2 record with the majority of wins by KO/TKO but no submission wins, suggesting less grappling dominance.
• No previous matchup between the two fighters has been recorded, so no direct H2H history is available.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the fight.
• Fight takes place at KSW 109 in Warsaw, Dzikowski's home country Poland, which may provide slight crowd support. Van De Merckt has international experience but may be facing some crowd adversity.
• Van De Merckt aims to maintain his near-perfect record in a higher profile organization, likely highly motivated. Dzikowski, with two recent losses and fighting at home, will seek to rebound decisively for standing in KSW.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alain Van De Merckt: -200, Borys Dzikowski: +150	Alain Van De Merckt	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Alain Van De Merckt -1.5 rounds: -120, Borys Dzikowski +1.5 rounds: +100	Alain Van De Merckt -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alain Van De Merckt -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alain Van De Merckt at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alain Van De Merckt to win by submission

Predicted Score: Alain Van De Merckt wins by submission in round 2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Eduard Kexel vs. Josef Stummer Prediction	Eduard Kexel Win	-280	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Piotr Kuberski vs. Radoslaw Paczuski Prediction	Piotr Kuberski Win	-350	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Alain Van De Merckt vs. Borys Dzikowski Prediction	Alain Van De Merckt Win	-200	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +162

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $52.35