Match Analysis: Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Alabama A&M Bulldogs Home
Game Overview
Alabama A&M Bulldogs host Charleston Southern Buccaneers in an NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Alabama A&M enters as the slight favorite with moneyline odds of -120, indicating a 54.5% implied probability of victory. This is the first head-to-head meeting between these two programs[2]. Alabama A&M comes into this contest following a loss to UAB (80-56) on November 13, 2025, while Charleston Southern most recently fell to East Carolina (91-62) on November 11, 2025[1]. Both teams are looking to bounce back with a win in this non-conference matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Alabama A&M has shown inconsistent form recently, scoring over 130 points in 80% of their last 5 games, but has lost 3 of their last 4 contests, including losses to Ole Miss (84-45) and Indiana (98-51)[1]. Charleston Southern also shows mixed results, with 1 win in their last 2 games against Citadel (96-86 W) and East Carolina (91-62 L)[1]. Alabama A&M averaged 64.25 points per game across recent form while allowing 71.25 points per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities[8]. Charleston Southern averaged 70.5 points for while allowing 67 points against[8].
- Alabama A&M and Charleston Southern have no previous head-to-head history in NCAA Men's Basketball[2]. This is their first meeting, making it impossible to draw on historical patterns or rivalry dynamics.
- No injury information is available in the provided search results. Current roster status and player availability cannot be assessed from the available data.
- The game is played at Alabama A&M's home venue, providing the Bulldogs with a potential home court advantage. The early morning UTC start time (01:00 UTC) may have minimal impact on either team if both are operating within the same timezone. Charleston Southern finished 10-22 overall last season with a 3-14 road record, suggesting historical road performance challenges[6].
- Both teams are seeking to recover from recent losses. Alabama A&M, despite scoring prolifically, has struggled defensively and needs to tighten up their defense. Charleston Southern, as the away team, faces the challenge of breaking their historically poor road performance record while competing against a team with home court advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alabama A&M: -120 | Charleston Southern: +100 | Alabama A&M Bulldogs Win | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Spread | Alabama A&M: -1.5 (-105) | Charleston Southern: +1.5 (-115) | Alabama A&M Bulldogs -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 154.5 (-115) | Under 154.5 (-105) | Over 154.5 | ★★★☆☆ 56% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alabama A&M Bulldogs -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 154.5 -3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Alabama A&M Bulldogs at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Alabama A&M Bulldogs are predicted to win this matchup against Charleston Southern Buccaneers. Despite recent inconsistency, Alabama A&M's home court advantage, higher recent scoring output (80%+ games over 130 points in the last month), and favorable moneyline odds suggest they are the stronger side in this contest. However, the narrow spread of -1.5 indicates a competitive game. Charleston Southern's defensive capability (allowing 67 PPG) presents some resistance, but Alabama A&M's offensive firepower should prove decisive.
Predicted Score: Alabama A&M 76, Charleston Southern 72