The undefeated UNLV Rebels face the Air Force Falcons in a Mountain West matchup. UNLV is favored to win, with a strong offense and special teams. Air Force struggles with a losing streak and defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
UNLV is 5-0, showcasing a balanced offense and strong special teams. Air Force is 1-4, struggling against the spread and with defensive issues.
No recent head-to-head data indicates a clear advantage for either team.
No significant injury reports for either team.
Allegiant Stadium might favor UNLV with home-field advantage.
UNLV is highly motivated to remain undefeated, while Air Force seeks to break its losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Air Force +190, UNLV -230
UNLV
β β β β β 85%
Spread
Air Force +6.5, UNLV -6.5
Air Force +6.5
β β β β β 74%
Over/under
Over 65.5, Under 65.5
Over 65.5
β β β β β 80%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
UNLV Rebels -14%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 65.5 17%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 65.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UNLV is expected to win, but the spread and over/under offer opportunities for value betting.
Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, MD
Game Overview
The Navy Midshipmen host the Air Force Falcons in a key Mountain West rivalry matchup. Navy enters as a strong favorite, backed by recent superior performance and home-field advantage, while Air Force seeks to leverage its balanced offensive attack to challenge the Midshipmen.
Key Factors to Consider
Navy is favored with a strong recent form including solid defensive and rushing efficiency; Air Force has struggled this season with a losing record and less consistent offense and defense.
Historically, Navy has maintained an edge at home versus Air Force, leveraging disciplined offenses and solid defensive stands. Recent meetings favor Navy covering double-digit spreads.
No significant key injuries reported for either team impacting starting lineups, maintaining expected team strengths on both sides.
Game played at Navyβs home stadium in Annapolis, MD, providing favorable conditions and crowd support for Navy. Weather and field conditions are expected to be neutral.
Both teams are motivated to perform well in this rivalry game; Navy aims to consolidate its winning trajectory, Air Force looks to upset and gain momentum after a rough start.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Navy -455, Air Force +350
Navy
β β β β β 80%
Spread
Navy -12.5 (-108), Air Force +12.5 (-112)
Navy -12.5
β β β β β 72%
Over/under
Over 52.5 (-105), Under 52.5 (-115)
Under 52.5
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Navy Midshipmen -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 52.5 8%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Navy to win decisively, covering the spread, with a final score reflecting moderate scoring conditions.
The Air Force Falcons (1-2) host the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (3-2) in a Mountain West matchup. Air Force, favored by -258 moneyline and -6.5 points spread, relies on a strong ground game and home-field advantage. Hawaii enters with better recent form and a positive record but is the underdog on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
Hawaii has a 3-2 record showing solid offensive progress recently, while Air Force holds a 1-2 record but performs strongly at home, leveraging their unique triple-option rushing attack. Air Force's defense allows moderate scoring but tends to limit explosive plays. Hawaii has been more consistent offensively but struggles against disciplined run defenses.
Recent H2H matchups favor Air Force slightly due to their run-heavy offense controlling tempo. Historically close games, with Air Force often covering the spread and winning by slim margins.
No major injuries reported for either team affecting key starters on offense or defense.
Falcon Stadium's altitude and home crowd benefit Air Force, likely to impact Hawaii's stamina. Travel fatigue may also affect Hawaii negatively.
Air Force is motivated to defend home field and improve their losing record. Hawaii looks to continue positive momentum but faces a tough, unfamiliar environment.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -258, away: +210
Air Force Falcons
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Air Force: -6.5 -115, Hawaii: +6.5 -105
Air Force Falcons -6.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
over: 53.5 -108, under: 53.5 -112
Under 53.5
β β β ββ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Air Force Falcons -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 53.5 17%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Air Force Falcons to cover the -6.5 spread, win straight up, and the total to go under 53.5 points.
Predicted Score: Air Force Falcons 24 – Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 16
The Air Force Falcons host the Boise State Broncos in an intriguing Mountain West matchup. Both teams enter the game with an identical 1-1 record, but Boise State is favored heavily by bookmakers, reflecting their stronger overall team and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
Boise State has shown a more balanced and effective offensive and defensive effort compared to Air Force, who rely on a run-heavy scheme but have struggled defensively and in conference play, holding a 0-1 conference record.
Recent H2H matchups favor Boise State, with multiple wins by double-digit margins. Air Force's option offense has been contained successfully by Boise State in prior meetings.
No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact starting lineups or key positions.
The game is played at Air Force's home stadium in Falcon Stadium, potentially giving Falcons a slight home advantage; however, Boise State's superior talent appears to outweigh this.
Both teams are motivated early in the season to secure a strong start within their conference, but Boise Stateβs higher preseason expectations and returning experienced players give them a competitive edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Air Force Falcons: +295, Boise State Broncos: -375
Boise State Broncos
β β β β β 80%
Spread
Air Force Falcons: +10 -108, Boise State Broncos: -10 -112
Boise State Broncos -10
β β β β β 75%
Over/under
Over 51.5: -105, Under 51.5: -115
Under 51.5
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boise State Broncos -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 51.5 22%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boise State Broncos to win on the moneyline, cover the 10-point spread, and the total score to go under 51.5.
Predicted Score: Boise State Broncos 28 – Air Force Falcons 14
Location: Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium, Logan, Utah
Game Overview
Air Force Falcons (1-0) visit Utah State Aggies (1-1) in a Mountain West Conference battle. Air Force is favored by 4.5 points with a total set near 51.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
Air Force is coming off a 49-13 win over Bucknell with a strong rushing attack and balanced offense; Utah State lost 44-22 to Texas A&M but has shown offensive capability, especially through passing.
Recent meetings favor Air Force's discipline and rushing dominance. Air Force's ability to control clock and tempo often limits Utah Stateβs offensive rhythm.
No significant injuries reported for either team that materially affect starters.
Game is at Utah State's home stadium, potentially giving Utah State some home-field edge. Weather expected to be typical fall conditions with no severe impact.
Both teams aim to improve conference standing early in the season; Air Force seeks to continue momentum from a dominant win while Utah State looks to rebound after a tough loss.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Air Force -198, Utah State +164
Air Force Falcons
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Air Force -4.5 -110, Utah State +4.5 -110
Air Force Falcons -4.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 51.5 -102, Under 51.5 -118
Under 51.5
β β β ββ 61%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Air Force Falcons -11%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 51.5 13%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Air Force Falcons to win outright on the moneyline.
Season opener NCAAF game between Air Force Falcons and Bucknell Bison at Falcon Stadium. Both teams come in with 0-0 records. Air Force is heavily favored by bookmakers.
Key Factors to Consider
Bucknell finished 6-6 in 2024 with a solid offense scoring 28.8 PPG but a leaky defense allowing 30.2 PPG. Air Force is known for a strong rushing attack and disciplined defense, historically dominating Patriot League teams. Both teams are coming off a preseason with no recent game form data available.
Recent direct H2H data is limited, but Air Force has consistently had strong performances against Patriot League teams like Bucknell, often winning by large margins.
No significant injury reports available pre-game for either team, both presumably at full strength for season opener.
Weather forecast at game time: 66Β°F, 12% chance of rain, 5 mph wind β minimal impact expected on game conditions. Home field advantage for Air Force at high-altitude Falcon Stadium.
Air Force seeks to start season strongly with a decisive home win; Bucknell aims to prove competitiveness but faces mismatch challenges.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Air Force Falcons: -7000, Bucknell Bison: +2000
Air Force Falcons
β β β β β 85%
Spread
Air Force Falcons -30.5: -110, Bucknell Bison +30.5: -110
Air Force Falcons -30.5
β β β β β 75%
Over/under
Over 55.5: -110, Under 55.5: -110
Under 55.5
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Air Force Falcons -7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 55.5 24%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Air Force Falcons to win convincingly; expected to cover large spread and the game to finish under the total points line due to disciplined defenses and Air Force's rushing control.
Predicted Score: Air Force Falcons 38 – Bucknell Bison 10
Location: Pete Beiden Field at Bob Bennett Stadium, Fresno, CA
Game Overview
The Fresno State Bulldogs (17-19, 10-5 MW) will host the Air Force Falcons (15-22, 7-8 MW) in a Mountain West baseball series starting April 17, 2025, at Pete Beiden Field. Fresno State leads the historical series 40-27 and has shown stronger performance in conference play. Recent encounters include Fresno State eliminating Air Force in the 2024 Mountain West tournament with a 10-3 win. The Bulldogs have a potent offense with several players boasting high OPS figures, while Air Force exhibits speed and strong on-base skills. Fresno Stateβs pitching features standout Jack Anker, the Mountain West strikeout leader. The Falcons' pitching has struggled with high ERAs, including the probable starter Dylan Rogers with a 9.32 ERA.
Key Factors to Consider
Fresno State holds a better conference record (10-5 vs. Air Force's 7-8) and boasts a powerful lineup led by high OPS hitters like Walker Zapp (1.049 OPS) and Tripp Garrish (0.982 OPS). They also have the dominant pitcher Jack Anker, who recently threw a 16-strikeout game and leads the conference in strikeouts. Air Forceβs offense excels in speed and small ball, leading the league in stolen bases and ranking well in on-base percentage, but their pitching staff struggles with high ERAs, notably Dylan Rogers with 9.32.
Fresno State leads the all-time series 40-27 and won the majority of recent meetings, including a key 10-3 victory in last year's Mountain West tournament that eliminated Air Force. Fresno State also won the first series of the 2025 season 2-1 but was swept in an away series. Overall, Fresno State has outscored Air Force historically (459-381).
No significant injury reports available for either team prior to the series.
The game is played at Fresno Stateβs home stadium, giving them home field advantage on a grass surface. The Falcons have traveled west for the series, which may affect their performance. Weather and other environmental factors are assumed neutral with no adverse conditions reported.
Fresno State is motivated to maintain home dominance and improve their conference standing following recent losses to Cal Poly. Air Force aims to improve their losing record and replicate their previous upset performances against Fresno State, including last seasonβs Mountain West tournament series.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Air Force Falcons: 255, Fresno St Bulldogs: -360
Fresno St Bulldogs to win
β β β β β 78%
Spread
Air Force Falcons: 2.5 -125, Fresno St Bulldogs: -2.5 -104
Fresno St Bulldogs -2.5
β β β β β 72%
Over/under
Over: 10.5 -121, Under: 10.5 -107
Under 10.5 runs
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Fresno St Bulldogs -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 10.5 16%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fresno State is favored to win due to superior pitching, stronger offensive metrics, home field advantage, and historical dominance in the rivalry. Air Forceβs speed and small ball tactics are notable but may not overcome Fresno Stateβs balanced strengths, particularly against weaker Falcons pitching.
Predicted Score: Fresno St Bulldogs 6 – Air Force Falcons 3
New Mexico Lobos, with a strong season record, face off against the less successful Air Force Falcons. The Lobos have shown superior performance in recent games, while the Falcons have struggled both in terms of wins and against the spread.
Key Factors to Consider
New Mexico has demonstrated strong shooting and defense, recently winning a game with a high field goal percentage. In contrast, Air Force's poor record and inconsistent performance make them less competitive.
New Mexico is 5-2 straight up in the last seven games against Air Force, though recently has been less successful against the spread.
No specific information about injuries is available.
None mentioned in the search results.
Both teams will be motivated to win, but New Mexico's superior performance and desire to maintain their standings could offer an edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
New Mexico Lobos: -145, Air Force Falcons: +114
New Mexico Lobos
β β β β β 70%
Spread
New Mexico Lobos: -1.5 +110, Air Force Falcons: +1.5 -140
New Mexico Lobos
β β β ββ 65%
Over_under
Over 15.5: -115, Under 15.5: -115
Under 15.5
β β β ββ 55%
Predicted Outcome
New Mexico Lobos are likely to win due to their superior record and recent form.
Predicted Score: New Mexico Lobos 75, Air Force Falcons 68