Match Analysis: Damon Wilson vs Aiden Lee – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 10:15 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

Damon Wilson faces Aiden Lee in the main event of Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged, a pivotal featherweight bout with top contender implications. The fight is scheduled for three rounds at 145 lbs and will be broadcast live on UFC Fight Pass. Wilson, known as 'The Nomad', brings a strong record and notable reach advantage, while Lee has a wealth of experience and a recent winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

• Damon Wilson (9-3) has shown consistent improvement, with a recent run of wins and a reputation for durability and striking. Aiden Lee (13-10) has a more varied record but has won four of his last five fights, demonstrating resilience and adaptability. Wilson's reach and height give him a physical edge, while Lee's experience and recent form suggest he can handle pressure.
• This is the first meeting between Wilson and Lee. No prior direct matchups or shared opponents with significant recent results are available for direct comparison.
• No reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter leading up to the event.
• The fight takes place in Manchester, England, which may provide a slight home advantage for Lee, who fights out of the UK. The event is part of a high-profile Cage Warriors card, increasing the stakes and media attention.
• Both fighters are motivated to secure a top contender spot, with the winner likely to be in line for a title shot. Wilson aims to solidify his status as a rising star, while Lee seeks to prove he remains a top-tier featherweight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Aiden Lee: 110, Damon Wilson: -150	Damon Wilson	Not available
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds at -120, Under 2.5 rounds at +100	Over 2.5 rounds	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Damon Wilson -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Damon Wilson is favored to win due to his physical advantages and recent form. However, Aiden Lee's experience and recent success make him a dangerous opponent. The fight is expected to be competitive, with Wilson likely to edge out a decision or secure a late finish.

Predicted Score: Damon Wilson wins by decision or late finish in round 3

Match Analysis: Alexander Loof vs Aiden Lee – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, United Kingdom

Game Overview

The main event at Cage Warriors 190 'Unplugged' features a featherweight bout between Aiden Lee and Alexander Lööf scheduled for June 27, 2025. This fight is set for three rounds at the 145 lbs featherweight limit. Lee is the more experienced fighter with 13 wins against 9 losses, while Lööf has a strong undefeated record of 7 wins and no losses. The bout will be streamed live on UFC Fight Pass, starting at 8:00 PM BST from the BEC Arena in Manchester.

Key Factors to Consider

• Aiden Lee shows a more extensive fight record (13-9) with a balanced finishing ability (3 KO/TKO and 8 submissions), indicating a versatile skill set. Alexander Lööf is undefeated (7-0) with fewer finishes by submission but a solid decision win ratio (5 out of 7). Lööf's undefeated streak and fewer losses suggest rising momentum, but Lee's experience and grappling prowess cannot be underestimated.
• No direct head-to-head match history is available between Lee and Lööf, making this their first encounter at a major promotion.
• No public reports of current injuries or health issues for either fighter heading into the bout.
• The fight takes place in Manchester at the BEC Arena, potentially giving some home advantage to Alexander Lööf if he is more acclimated or locally supported. The event is invite-only, which might elevate pressure and focus for both athletes.
• Aiden Lee aims to rebound and prove himself against an undefeated opponent, bringing motivation from a strong grappling camp. Alexander Lööf looks to maintain his unbeaten record, leveraging his youth and momentum to elevate his standing in the featherweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Aiden Lee: -144, Alexander Lööf: 104	Alexander Lööf	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Aiden Lee -1.5: -110, Alexander Lööf +1.5: -110	Alexander Lööf +1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Aiden Lee 12%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aiden Lee at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexander Lööf by decision. Lööf's undefeated record combined with a strong striking and decision game suggests he will outpoint Lee over three rounds despite Lee's submission threat. Lööf's youth and recent form give him a slight edge in endurance and pace.

Predicted Score: Alexander Lööf wins by unanimous decision

Match Analysis: Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo vs Aiden Lee – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-08
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo and Aiden Lee are set to face off in a Cage Warriors MMA match. Mastrogiacomo is favored, reflecting his stronger performance odds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo is favored with odds of -300, indicating a perceived advantage in skill or recent performance compared to Aiden Lee.
• No previous head-to-head data is available for these fighters, making it difficult to assess past performance against each other.
• No information is available regarding injuries to either fighter, which could impact performance.
• External factors such as crowd support and training conditions may influence the fight but are not quantifiable.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated, but Mastrogiacomo's favored status might affect Lee's motivation to prove himself.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-300 for Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo, 220 for Aiden Lee	Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo	★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo is likely to win based on the odds.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA fights