Match Analysis: Radek Roušal vs Adrian Hamerski – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 4:39 PM UTC
- Location: Central Tennis Court Štvanice, Prague, CZ
Game Overview
Featherweight prelims fight at OKTAGON 74 between Radek Roušal and Adrian Hamerski. Radek Roušal holds a 4-2-0 record while Adrian Hamerski is 4-1-0. Both fighters have shown solid performances recently, with Roušal as a slight favorite based on odds and experience.
Key Factors to Consider
- Radek Roušal has a marginally better fight experience and a slightly larger sample of bouts (4-2-0 versus Hamerski's 4-1-0), showing consistency and capability to finish fights before the limit.
- No prior recorded head-to-head matches between Radek Roušal and Adrian Hamerski available, meaning no direct comparative data.
- No known injuries reported publicly for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full physical capacity.
- The fight takes place at Štvanice in Prague, Czech Republic, giving Roušal potential crowd support as a local fighter. No adverse external distractions reported for either competitor.
- Both fighters seek to build momentum in the OKTAGON promotion; Roušal may have a slight motivational edge fighting in front of the home crowd and establishing himself in featherweight.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Roušal 1.23, Hamerski 3.79 | Radek Roušal | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Roušal -1.5 rounds (about 2.05), Hamerski +1.5 rounds (about 1.75) | Radek Roušal -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds 1.80, Under 2.5 rounds 2.00 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Radek Roušal to win on the moneyline, cover -1.5 rounds on the spread, and under 2.5 rounds in total fight duration.
Predicted Score: Radek Roušal wins by finish before the end of the third round