Match Analysis: Michal Dreczkowski vs Adam Tomasik – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: KSW 110 Event Venue
Game Overview
Light heavyweight MMA main card fight between Michal Dreczkowski and Adam Tomasik, featuring contrasted styles: Dreczkowski excels in grappling and endurance, Tomasik in striking power and early aggression.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dreczkowski shows strong grappling and endurance with steady recent form and effective submission skills; Tomasik brings notable knockout power and early round dominance but has lesser grappling defense.
- No direct prior matchups available; stylistic contrast suggests Tomasik may push early for a KO while Dreczkowski aims to survive early pressure and take the fight to the ground.
- No reported injuries or recent performance-impacting issues for either fighter, both entering fight healthy.
- Fight takes place in KSW promotion which both fighters have experience in; no known external distractions or travel challenges that could impact performance.
- Both fighters highly motivated to climb rankings; Dreczkowski motivated to prove grappling superiority, Tomasik to validate striking prowess and power.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -225 | Michal Dreczkowski | ★★★★☆ 73% |
| Spread | -230 | Michal Dreczkowski -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | +175 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Michal Dreczkowski moneyline win
Predicted Score: Michal Dreczkowski wins via submission late round 2