Match Analysis: Patryk Kaczmarczyk vs Adam Soldaev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Netto Arena, Szczecin, Poland

Game Overview

KSW 112 interim featherweight championship bout between #1 ranked Patryk Kaczmarczyk (12-3) and #2 ranked Adam Soldaev (10-2). This is a 5-round championship fight for the interim KSW featherweight title. Kaczmarczyk is fighting for the interim belt after losing to Robert Ruchała in 2024, while Soldaev arrives with a three-fight winning streak and has finished 6 of 10 wins by stoppage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kaczmarczyk: 12-3 record with 3 KOs (20%) and 2 submissions (13%), 7 decisions (47%). Last fought January 2025, defeating Ahmed Vila. Competed in KSW since 2021 with 6 wins in 9 fights. Earned two bonuses for best fights and one for best knockout. Soldaev: 10-2 record with 6 KOs (60%) and 1 submission (8%), 3 decisions (25%). Currently riding three-fight winning streak with 7 of 10 wins by stoppage, 6 of which in the first round.
• First meeting between these fighters. Met face-to-face immediately after Soldaev's last fight to seal the matchup.
• Kaczmarczyk was scheduled to return in July 2025 but an injury prevented him from competing against Leo Brichta. Current injury status unclear.
• This is the fourth time KSW has held an event in Szczecin. Championship-level bout carries added pressure and motivation for both competitors.
• Kaczmarczyk seeking redemption after losing interim title shot in 2024. Soldaev attempting to claim the interim title on the momentum of three consecutive wins. Both fighters are highly motivated for a title opportunity.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Soldaev -170 | Kaczmarczyk +130	Adam Soldaev	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Adam Soldaev 8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Adam Soldaev at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adam Soldaev to win via knockout or submission. Soldaev's superior striking efficiency (60% finishing rate vs 20%) and first-round dominance pattern (6 of 7 stoppage wins in round one) provide significant edge against a returning Kaczmarczyk with recent injury concerns and lower output efficiency.

Predicted Score: Adam Soldaev wins Round 2 via TKO (Stoppage 3:45)

Match Analysis: Leo Brichta vs Adam Soldaev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: July 19, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Urania Hall, Olsztyn, Poland

Game Overview

This MMA matchup between Leo Brichta and Adam Soldaev is set to take place at KSW 108, with both fighters seeking to prove their skills in the featherweight division. The event is highly anticipated, given the competitive odds and the fighters' recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Recent form data is not explicitly available, but competitive moneyline odds suggest a closely matched contest.
• No historical head-to-head data is available for these fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Venue and crowd support might slightly favor the local fighter or the fighter with more Polish fans.
• Both fighters are likely motivated by the opportunity to win and climb the rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Adam Soldaev: -125, Leo Brichta: -105	Adam Soldaev	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Adam Soldaev -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Adam Soldaev at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adam Soldaev to win

Predicted Score: Decision or late stoppage