Match Analysis: Adam Maca vs Francisco Rodriguez – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Sunderland Live, UK
Game Overview
Super Bantamweight bout scheduled for 4 x 3-minute rounds between Adam Maca and Francisco Rodriguez.
Key Factors to Consider
- Adam Maca is the heavy favorite with dominant recent form showcasing quick finishes and strong technical skills, while Francisco Rodriguez has shown some toughness but less consistent results recently.
- No direct head-to-head meetings found, making form and style matchups the primary basis for analysis.
- No reported injuries or weight issues for either contender at weigh-in; both fighters made weight comfortably.
- Fight takes place on a DAZN-televised card with considerable attention, potentially boosting motivation for both boxers. Maca has home crowd support.
- Maca, a promising prospect with high expectations, appears highly motivated to establish dominance; Rodriguez looks motivated as an underdog with something to prove but less momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Adam Maca: -10000, Francisco Rodriguez: 2000 | Adam Maca | ★★★★★ 90% |
| Spread | Adam Maca -2.5: -150, Francisco Rodriguez +2.5: +130 | Adam Maca -2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5 rounds: +120, Under 3.5 rounds: -140 | Under 3.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Adam Maca -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Adam Maca at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Adam Maca to win by Moneyline
Predicted Score: Adam Maca wins by 3rd round stoppage