Match Analysis: Thomas Gantt vs Adam Livingston – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-17
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA
Game Overview
Lightweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series Week 6 featuring Thomas Gantt and Adam Livingston, both undefeated with strong KO records and notable grappling and striking attributes.
Key Factors to Consider
- Thomas Gantt holds a 4-0 record with 4 KOs, showing strong finishing ability and a winning streak, while Adam Livingston is 3-0 with 2 KOs, boasting a short winning streak and powerful striking.
- No previous head-to-head matchup exists; however, statistical predictions favor Livingston slightly for the win (58%) over Gantt (42%).
- No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the contest.
- Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue; no travel or acclimation concerns for either fighter who are both US-based.
- Both fighters highly motivated to secure a contract or advancement in Dana White's Contender Series; Gantt’s wrestling credentials suggest extra drive to control and dominate.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Thomas Gantt: -176, Adam Livingston: +142 | Thomas Gantt | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | Thomas Gantt -1.5: -110, Adam Livingston +1.5: -110 | Thomas Gantt -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5: -120, Under 1.5: +100 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Thomas Gantt -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Thomas Gantt at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Thomas Gantt to win via ground and pound TKO
Predicted Score: Thomas Gantt wins by TKO round 2