Match Analysis: Raymond Ford vs Abraham Nova – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Game Overview
A super featherweight 12-round boxing match between Raymond Ford, a former WBA featherweight champion known for his slick boxing, movement, and strong defense, against Abraham Nova, a seasoned fighter with significant power and physical reach advantages.
Key Factors to Consider
- Raymond Ford (17-1-1, 8 KOs) is on a positive run with two consecutive wins after losing his title in a recent fight. Abraham Nova (24-3-1, 17 KOs) has had uneven recent form with recent losses and a draw but carries notable punching power.
- No known previous head-to-head bouts between Ford and Nova, making direct matchup data unavailable.
- No reported injuries or fitness issues for either fighter ahead of the contest.
- Fight takes place at a neutral venue in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. No significant external factors such as travel issues or weather expected to impact performance.
- Ford seeks to reclaim top-level status after a recent title loss, highly motivated to leverage his boxing skills. Nova aims to capitalize on his power and upset as a late replacement, also motivated but less consistent form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Raymond Ford: -910, Abraham Nova: 560 | Raymond Ford | ★★★★☆ 83% |
| Spread | Raymond Ford -5.5 rounds: -250, Abraham Nova +5.5 rounds: 180 | Raymond Ford -5.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 10.5 rounds: -200, Under 10.5 rounds: 165 | Under 10.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Raymond Ford -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 10.5 59% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Raymond Ford to win by decision
Predicted Score: Raymond Ford wins by decision, likely finishing between the 9th and 12th rounds