Match Analysis: Alik Lorenz vs Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-27
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Not Provided
Game Overview
Alik Lorenz faces Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev in a light heavyweight bout at the Dana White's Contender Series 2025. Lorenz is known for his aggressive style and powerful strikes, while Yakhyaev is the current Ares FC champion with a balanced skillset.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yakhyaev is the more well-rounded fighter, having won via decision, KO/TKO, and submission. Lorenz relies heavily on his power and has a 100% finish rate.
- No previous head-to-head matchup.
- No injuries reported.
- Motivation is high for both fighters looking to secure a UFC contract.
- Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yakhyaev: -900, Lorenz: 600 | Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev | ★★★★☆ 82% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5: 190, Under 1.5: -240 | Under 1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 -1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev is favored to win due to his technical skills and recent title fights experience.
Predicted Score: Yakhyaev by decision or early stoppage