Match Analysis: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Matheus Camilo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi
Game Overview
A lightweight UFC prelim fight featuring Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady and Matheus Camilo, both fighters possess similar recent form and skill levels, making this a closely contested matchup anticipated to extend beyond early rounds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both fighters have demonstrated solid technical grappling and striking in recent bouts with no significant downturns; Al-Selwady shows slightly higher recent activity and decision wins while Camilo has strong finishing ability.
- No prior head-to-head matchups recorded, making strategy and adaptability in-fight critical.
- No reported injuries or fitness concerns for either fighter heading into the bout.
- Fight takes place in a neutral venue (Abu Dhabi) with no clear home advantage; standard weight conditions and regulation environment.
- Both fighters are motivated to secure UFC roster positioning and momentum; Al-Selwady's recent decision wins give him confidence in going the distance, Camilo likely motivated to showcase finishing skills.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -102, away: -118 | Matheus Camilo | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Al-Selwady +3.5: -155, Camilo -3.5: 115 | Al-Selwady +3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5: -200, Under 1.5: 154 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Matheus Camilo -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Matheus Camilo to win by decision
Predicted Score: Decision win for Matheus Camilo after 3 rounds