Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 31, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Santos vs. Fluminense Prediction	Fluminense	212	47%
1. FC Köln vs. SC Freiburg Prediction	1. FC Köln	161	44%
Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace Prediction	Aston Villa	-114	40%

Combined Odds: +1429 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $305.73

Match Analysis: FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Köln – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-24
• Time: 1:30 PM UTC
• Location: MEWA Arena, Mainz, Germany

Game Overview

The first Bundesliga round match between FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Köln features Mainz as a solid home side with a strong unbeaten home streak, while Köln arrives in good form and top of the table, making this a competitive encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mainz are unbeaten in their last 13 home Bundesliga games but lack clean sheets in their recent home matches. Köln are in good form, scoring consistently and currently topping the Bundesliga table.
• Recent home meetings show both teams scoring frequently, with 3 of the last 5 Mainz home games vs Köln featuring goals from both sides.
• No major injury concerns reported for either side, enabling both teams to field strong lineups.
• No significant external factors such as weather or travel issues appear to influence this match; the game is at Mainz's home ground.
• As a season opener, both teams are motivated to start strongly; Mainz to defend their home record, Köln to maintain their top-table momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -115, away: +312, draw: +266	FSV Mainz 05	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	home: -115, away: -105	FSV Mainz 05 -0.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over: +100, under: -120	Over 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	FSV Mainz 05 5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.75 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mainz 05 to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, and the match to have over 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1