Match Analysis: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Augsburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Voith-Arena
Game Overview
This Bundesliga fixture features newly promoted 1. FC Heidenheim hosting Augsburg. Heidenheim have yet to gain any points this season, struggling with finishing and defense, while Augsburg also underperformed but have slightly better recent form and offensive output. Both sides are in relegation battles and highly motivated for a positive result.
Key Factors to Consider
- Heidenheim have lost all four league matches this season and have shown poor clinical finishing despite some competitive play. Augsburg began with an away win but have since lost three straight, showing defensive vulnerabilities but with more goal-scoring consistency.
- In their last six meetings, Augsburg has had the upper hand except for one 4-0 home loss to Heidenheim last season. This suggests Augsburg holds a slight psychological advantage but Heidenheimβs home form in these matchups isnβt negligible.
- No significant injury reports available that suggest key players missing from either squad, indicating near full-strength lineups expected.
- Match played at Voith-Arena giving home advantage to Heidenheim. Both teams play high-pressure football due to relegation zone proximity which may increase intensity and scoring chances.
- Heidenheim is in desperate need of points to avoid early relegation troubles. Augsburg also battles from a low table position, making this a crucial game for confidence and standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +174, away: +146, draw: +255 | Augsburg | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | home_0: +102, away_0: -122 | Augsburg 0 spread (draw no bet) | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | over_2.75: -105, under_2.75: -115 | Over 2.75 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Augsburg 23% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Augsburg at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Augsburg to win on the moneyline, covering a draw-no-bet spread; over 2.75 goals for total goals.
Predicted Score: 1-2