Match Analysis: Wrexham AFC vs Bristol City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: The Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Game Overview
This EFL Championship fixture features Wrexham AFC hosting Bristol City at The Racecourse Ground. Both teams are competing in the Championship 2025-26 season, with Wrexham aiming to capitalize on home advantage while Bristol City looks to build on recent positive results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wrexham has shown competitive form at home, with fluctuating results in their 2025-26 campaign but generally holding a solid defensive structure. Bristol City recently secured a convincing 3-0 victory over Swansea City, suggesting strong offensive capability and momentum entering this fixture.
- Historical data on past meetings shows a balanced rivalry with no definitive dominance by either side. Previous Championship encounters have been competitive with mixed results making this match potentially tight.
- Current injury reports do not indicate any major absences for either team, with both squads expected to field near full strength lineups.
- Playing at Wrexhamβs home ground offers a psychological edge to Wrexham due to fan support and familiarity with pitch conditions. Weather and pitch specifics on matchday are expected to be neutral with no extreme conditions forecasted.
- Wrexham seeks to improve their league standing and end a potential winless streak at home, which motivates a strong defensive and counter-attacking approach. Bristol City aims to extend their winning form and challenge for higher table placement, favoring a proactive attacking style.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bristol City: 176, Wrexham AFC: 144, Draw: 220 | Wrexham AFC to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Bristol City: 0 105, Wrexham AFC: 0 -125 | Wrexham AFC to cover the spread (0) | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wrexham AFC 29% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Wrexham AFC at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is expected to be closely contested, with a slight advantage to Wrexham due to home advantage, though Bristol Cityβs recent form suggests they will be very competitive. A low-scoring draw or a narrow win for Wrexham is the most probable outcome.
Predicted Score: 1-0