Match Analysis: West Ham United vs Burnley – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: London Stadium
Game Overview
West Ham United hosts Burnley in a Premier League clash where West Ham are slight favorites backed by recent form and home advantage, while Burnley pose a tough away challenge.
Key Factors to Consider
- West Ham have just secured their first win of the season under Nuno Espirito Santo, showing improvement. Burnley recently ended a two-game winning streak and have proven resilient away from home.
- In the past six Premier League meetings, West Ham have won three and drawn three against Burnley, who have not beaten West Ham since 2020. Both teams often score in these matchups.
- No major reported injury setbacks for either team that would heavily impact starting lineups or tactical approach.
- Home pitch advantage for West Ham and the motivating factor of securing early season points play a role; no significant weather or travel issues expected.
- West Ham are motivated to solidify their position following their first win, while Burnley aim to avoid defeat and continue demonstrating away resilience.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | West Ham United: -109, Burnley: 300, Draw: 255 | West Ham United | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | West Ham United -0.5: -110, Burnley +50: -110 | West Ham United -0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | West Ham United 11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
West Ham United to win, Over 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1